Publisher: НІСД Національний інститут стратегічних досліджень

Putin's regime: From its Re-Start up to 2018

Режим Путіна: перезавантаження-2018

Author(s): Maxim Rozumniy / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Putin, Russian Imperialism;

The current state of domestic and foreign policy of the Russian Federation is considered. The resources that can be used to keep the current leadership of the Russian Federation in power, the main trends of socio-economic and domestic life of Russia, its foreign policy are analyzed in respect of its political interests and means of achieving geopolitical goals. The main scenarios for the Kremlin's policy of restoring imperial status, including the reintegration of the post-Soviet space, confrontation with the West, and Russia's expansion in strategically important regions of the world, have been identified. The publication was prepared by the Center for Research of Problems of the Russian Federation of the National Institute for Strategic Studies.

Migration policy: Global Context and Ukrainian Realities

Міграційна політика: глобальний контекст та українські реалії

Author(s): Olena Malinovska / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: migration;

The monograph provides an overview of the current migration situation in the world, on the European continent and in Ukraine. The factors and consequences of international migration, its significance for development and security are analyzed. Some theoretical approaches to the analysis of migration policy, international legal documents in the field of migration, the acquisition of a common migration policy of the European Union are considered. The main directions of migration policy are illustrated by the experience of foreign countries. Particular attention is paid to the formation and development of migration policy of Ukraine, the prospects for its further improvement. Monograph is written for the general public as readership.

Security and Competitiveness of Ukraine's Economy in the Conditions of Globalization

Безпека та конкурентоспроможність економіки України в умовах глобалізації

Author(s): Alexander Stepanovich Vlasyuk / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukrainian Economy;

In an era of globalization, when the world has become more interconnected and interdependent, new challenges are rapidly becoming universal and pose real threats to both national and international security and stability. Globalization is becoming an increasingly influential "architect" of the new order of international security and has a contradictory effect on the evolution of relations between states. On the one hand, globalization stimulates the accelerated development of productive forces, scientific and technological progress, increasing intellectual capacity and improving democratic multilateral mechanisms of governance of the international system, and thus contributes to a reliable solution to regional security problems. On the other hand, the spontaneous development of globalization exacerbates a number of existing problems of international security and creates new risks and challenges. Due to differences in financial and economic potentials, cooperation between countries is becoming increasingly asymmetric. A small group of highly developed countries plays the role of subjects of globalization, and the vast majority of other countries are becoming its objects, "drifting" on the waves of financial and economic development. Moreover, the weakest members of the world community suffer much greater losses from the negative effects of globalization compared to countries that are protected by their own financial and economic power. The result is stratification, up to the abyss, in the pace and direction of socio-economic development of entire regions of the world.

Organization of the National Sustainability System at the Regional and Local Levels

Організація системи забезпечення національної стійкості на регіональному і місцевому рівнях

Author(s): O. O. Reznikova,K. Z. Voitovsky,A. V. Lepikhov / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: territorial structure of Ukraine; administrative districts in Ukraine;

Methodological, organizational, legal, political and other aspects of ensuring the stability of regions and territorial communities have been studied. The best world practices in this field are analyzed on the examples of the formation and functioning of the security districts of the Netherlands and local sustainability forums of Great Britain. Problems and prospects of ensuring the stability of regions and territorial communities in Ukraine are identified. Recommendations for the formation of a comprehensive model of interagency cooperation and coordination of activities in the field of national security and sustainability at the regional and local levels in Ukraine are proposed. Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the field of national security, subjects of power, representatives of public organizations and individuals, all who are interested in the problems of building national stability. The publication can also be useful in the development and adoption of regulations governing legal relations in this area.

Kremlin’s Aggression against Ukraine: Reflections in the Context of War

Кремлівська агресія проти України: роздуми в контексті війни

Author(s): Sergey Kononenko,Alexander Stepanovich Vlasyuk / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian aggression against Ukraine;

The urgent theoretical, methodological, as well as ideological, issues of further development of Ukrainian system of national security in a situation of foreign aggression and territorial losses caused by it are defined. The special attention is paid to: description of the international, security, socio-psychological aspects of the historical situation modern Ukraine occurred to be; elaboration of the methodology based on «international systems» theoretical approach and aimed at analyzes of the problems of national and international security in a post-bipolar world; theoretical interpretation of the key issues of world politics – correlation of war and peace in this politics, building of the alliances of «strategic partnership», future of integration at the European and peace at the post-soviet geopolitical realms. Three-stage theoretical model of the system of national security of Ukraine is worked out. - It is designed for a wide audience.

National Security of Ukraine: Evolution of domestic Policy Issues

Національна безпека України: еволюція проблем внутрішньої політики

Author(s): Alexander Stepanovich Vlasyuk / Language(s): Ukrainian

Scientific and methodological approaches to the formation of the national security system are considered, the evolution of threats to national security is covered, the issues of formation of Ukrainian national identity, human development, regional policy, information security and security sector reform are studied. For specialists in the field of national security and public administration, political scientists, teachers, graduate students and students.

Conceptualization of Economic Security Management of the Enterprise

Концептуалізація управління економічною безпекою підприємства

Author(s): O. M. Lyashenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: enterprise security; economic security management;

The economic security of the enterprise as an object of management is studied. The morphology and logic of controllability of economic security of the enterprise are studied. The triad of goals of economic security management of the enterprise is presented. Harmonization is considered as a basis for ensuring the effectiveness of economic security management of the enterprise and developed tools for evaluating such effectiveness. The monograph is designed for scientists, graduate students and undergraduates who are not indifferent to the problems of economic security; can be useful for business owners, managers and professionals involved in the management of economic security of the enterprise. The economic security of the enterprise is studied as an object of management. The morphology and logic of controllability of economic security of the enterprise are studied. The triad of the purposes of management of economic safety of the enterprise is presented. Harmonization is considered as a basis for ensuring the effectiveness of economic security management of the enterprise and developed tools for assessing such effectiveness. The monograph is intended for scientists, graduate students and undergraduates who are not indifferent to the problems of economic security; can be useful to business owners, managers and professionals involved in the management of economic security of the enterprise.

Ukraine and Russia: The Ninth Shaft or the China Wall

Україна і Росія: дев’ятий вал чи Китайська стіна

Author(s): Vladimir Pavlovich Gorbulin,Alexander Stepanovich Vlasyuk,Sergey Kononenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Donbass conflict; hybrid war; frozen conflict; Russian Foreign Policy;

Political-theoretical, geopolitical, cultural-historical and foreign policy aspects of the armed conflict in Donbass are considered. In terms of the theory of realism, the specifics of international relations in the post-imperial political space are interpreted. Prognostic scenarios for further evolution of the conflict situation at the bilateral, regional and global levels are proposed. The sources of modern Russia's foreign policy behavior towards Ukraine and other post-Soviet states have been identified and interpreted. Based on the experience of the conflict in Donbas, the strategy and tactics for counteracting external aggression have been determined. Designed for a wide range of readers.

Cyberspace as a new Dimension of Geopolitical Competition

Кіберпростір як новий вимір геополітичного суперництва

Author(s): D. V. Dubov,Natalya Dubovenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: cyberspace;

The issue of cyberspace as an integral part of classical and non-classical geopolitics has been studied. The geopolitical and geostrategic significance of cyberspace, its role in the global rivalry between the United States and China, as well as the problem of ensuring the national interests of Ukraine in the growing geopolitical role of cyberspace and confrontations in it. It is aimed at specialists in international relations, geopolitics, security experts, as well as a wide range of readers who are interested in the problems of national and international cybersecurity.

Strategic Priorities of the secure Development of Ukraine on the Basis of the Green Economy

Стратегічні пріоритети безпечного розвитку України на засадах «зеленої економіки»

Author(s): V. G. Potapenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: ecological transformation; renewable energy; green economy;

Theoretical and methodological, institutional and legal principles of formation of state economic security in the conditions of ecological transformation of economy and development of new "green" branches of production in Ukraine are considered. The technically achievable potential of renewable energy, organic agriculture and other sectors of the "green economy" as a mechanism for practical economic security in the face of threats of resource depletion. The priorities of state policy formation on the basis of introduction of innovative ecologically safer technologies that will be able to ensure sustainable development of society in the strategic perspective are determined. // Designed for specialists in the field of economic security, innovative economic development, experts and scientists in the field of "green economy", managers and all those interested in the future economic development of the world and the existence of mankind in general.

Ukraine and Countries of Eastern, Southeastern and Southern Asia: Results of 2020 and Prospects of Development

Україна і країни Східної, Південно-Східної та Південної Азії: підсумки 2020 року та перспективи розвитку

Author(s): A. Z. Goncharuk,O. V. Drobotyuk,B. O. Kiktenko,V. A. Musiychuk,Yu. S. Phil / Language(s): Ukrainian

The phrase "The 21st century will be the century of Asia" has become one of the most widely used among international experts. The review "Ukraine and the countries of East, Southeast and South Asia: results of 2020 and prospects of development" offered to the reader vividly illustrates its justice. The authors managed to give in a small text not only an in-depth analysis of political, economic, trade, investment ties of Ukraine with a huge region of the globe, but also to outline the main directions of development of this dynamic area. // The review, as expected, pays considerable attention to Ukraine's relations with the People's Republic of China. China became the main trading partner of Ukraine in 2020, is one of the largest investors, and in the future may take first place in this area. The real breakthrough made by the Ukrainian agrarian complex on the Chinese market is rightly noted. There are other areas in which domestic exporters expect success. Problems are also noted. We are talking about the poor domestic investment climate, frequent changes in legislation, lack of the rule of law, and in some cases - bureaucratic red tape in the consideration and implementation of joint projects. The Ukrainian side should consider how our neighbors, the countries of the European Union, are building their trade and economic relations with China.

The Real Sector of the Ecomnomy of Ukraine in Conditions of System Challenges

Реальний сектор економіки України в умовах системних викликів

Author(s): O. V. Sobkevych,A. V. Shevchenko,V. M. Rusan,Velislava Rusanova,E. V. Belashov,A. Zhurakovskaya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian agression against Ukraine; Ukrainian Economy:

Prolonged hybrid aggression by Russia is forcing Ukraine to rethink old and identify new economic policy priorities in the real sector, which should result in a leveling of the destructive effects of the aggressor's actions. Ukraine's fight against pressure from Russia in the face of declining profitability and predictability of Russian markets should be aimed at eliminating ingrained dependence on them and include the full arsenal of available and effective measures of macroeconomic and foreign trade policy, economic diplomacy and international trade law. // it is important to explore the potential and current conditions of the real sector of the economy, identify problems that hinder its development, as well as update public policy approaches to stimulate modernization transformations based on efficiency of production processes in the way of technical and technological modernization and innovation, with emphasis to develop high value-added sectors, ensure equal access to markets and resources for different participants in economic relations, develop new approaches to the consumption of limited resources in order to ensure inclusive economic growth.

Cross-border cooperation as a tool of local and regional development

Транскордонне співробітництво як інструмент місцевого та регіонального розвитку

Author(s): V. V. Khiminets,A. A. Golovka,O. I. Mirus / Language(s): Ukrainian

Decentralization and subsidiarity as basic principles of reform of local self-government and territorial organization of government create at the local level, in particular, conditions for intensifying cross-border cooperation (hereinafter - CBC) as one of the tools for developing communities and regions of Ukraine. In the last decade, a network of horizontal economic, cultural, educational and scientific relations between the border regions of Ukraine and the EU has been actively formed, which ensures cooperation between government and local government, business, universities, research institutions and civil society organizations. Among the favorable factors for the development of such cooperation are geographical proximity (proximity to the EU borders - Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania), targeted long-term EU policy on macro-regions (EU macro-regional strategy for the Danube region, and prospects for the Carpathian macroregion); organizational capabilities (experience of project management and implementation of initiatives in the field of TCS, the potential of regional development agencies (hereinafter - RDA); historical and socio-cultural ties, especially Western Ukrainian territories with European countries; scientific and expert potential; foreign policy vector of Ukraine) Euro-Atlantic civilization space) // At the same time, the border regions of Ukraine face a number of goals that are relevant in the context of the development of TCS. Coherence and complementarity of CBC development goals at the national, regional and local levels also play an important role, which leads to the harmonization of the goals of cross-border cooperation programs, regional development strategies in Ukraine and an inclusive approach to organization of interaction within the TCS. This is the INTRODUCTIONstrengthens the overall positive effect of combining all development programs.

Ensuring Ukrainian economic interests in relations with Subsaharian African countries

Забезпечення економічних інтересів України у відносинах з країнами Субсахарської Африки

Author(s): A. V. Bobrovytsky,V. P. Kolosova,I. V. Us / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukraine and African Countries;

Sub-Saharan Africa is a giant subcontinent for rhetoric of sub-Saharan Africa. In modern definitions There is some disagreement as to the exact number of countries that are part of this region. According to the methodology used by the World Bank, the subcontinent consists of 48 countries1 differing in level of development, self-organization, historical features of the colonial past, geographical location, natural resources, the spread of world religions and place in the world economic order. The subcontinent has common features: population composition, geographical location and similar history of development. According to the UN geoeconomic classification, Africa is isolated four subregions. However, there are real differences between North Africa and the rest of the African continent. Therefore, the purpose of this report is a deeper definition of economic interests of Ukraine and the formation of political influence in the way of development of economic cooperation and the formation of permanent actions with subcontinent countries. To the Ukrainian interests in the Sub-African Africa should include: markets for agricultural products and satisfaction (direct supplies, participation in UN procurement and others international organizations); markets for engineering products and services; Ukraine’s interest in supplying useful wormwood from sub-Saharan Africa; humanitarian cooperation and provision of educational and medical services; formation of favorable international and bilateral climate; group formation "Friends of Ukraine" among the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa; training models for ensuring the geoeconomic interests of Ukraine in the Sub-Africa and a long-term strategy to promote interests on the subcontinent.

Problems and Prospects of Strengthening the Sustainability of the Financial System of Ukraine

Проблеми та перспективи зміцнення стійкості фінансової системи України

Author(s): L. G. Shemaeva,Ya. Zhalilo,N. Ya, Yurkiv,D. M. Gladkikh,Valentina V. Gladkikh,Yu. V. Kasperovich,L.P Londar,A. L. Deshko / Language(s): Ukrainian

The modern globalized world is characterized by increasing turbulence in financial markets, which poses special challenges to ensure the stability of national economies. The megatrend of financialization, which is characterized by increasing the share of financial transactions and the dominance of the financial sector of the economy over the real one, reflects radical changes in the structure of the modern world economy. Fluctuations in financial markets significantly affect the rate of global growth, and global financial flows determine structural changes in national economies. // Currently, Ukraine is facing exacerbation of external risks associated with the sharp increase in global economic volatility, which was observed in the first half of 2020 in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, which, according to many experts, makes high-scale growth of full-scale global economic crises. Responding to the challenges of the pandemic has led to a number of radical measures at the national level, which have a shocking impact on the national economy. Hybrid aggression against Ukraine continues, shaping its own challenges to the financial system.

Thirty Years of Ukraine's Independence: socio-economic Results and strategic Visions of the Future

Тридцять років незалежності України: соціально-економічні підсумки та стратегічні візії майбутнього

Author(s): Ya. A. Shalilo,Ya. B. Vasilyuk,O. O. Kolomiets / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: independent Ukraine; Ulraine building-up democracy;

Ukraine gained Independence thirty years ago. This fateful event in the development of the Ukrainian nation became at the same time a powerful challenge for the people of Ukraine in terms of their ability to purposefully and consistently build the basis for the realization of their sovereign rights. Further development has shown that the idea of ​​the inviolability of the value of Ukraine's sovereignty as a young European state has taken root in the minds of the vast majority of citizens. Profound changes have taken place in all spheres of life: from public consciousness to the national economy. The ability of Ukrainian society to resolutely resist the hybrid influence of the Russian Federation (RF), the desire to overcome the "gravity" of the eastern neighbor, the desire to build their own direction of European integration showed that Ukraine has achieved much greater success in gaining real sovereignty than most other post-Soviet countries. // Political and mental sovereignty must be logically continued in building a viable integrated and competitive national economy, which allows to fully realize the potential of independence for making and implementing sovereign decisions on the future development of the country and nation. The paradigm of perception of the country's independence must change: it is no longer a question of "independence from" but of "independence for" - independence for the implementation of a sovereign strategy of social development based on the realization of national interests, consolidated common vision of the future. // In the field of practical realization of the potential of sovereignty, Ukraine still has a long way to go. During the three decades of difficult, not always consistent, often contradictory progress that has taken place since Ukraine's independence, the economy has accumulated complex contradictions that are currently hindering the construction of an integrated vision of the future, proper consolidation of efforts to achieve it.

Economic Security of Ukraine in Conditions of Hybrid Aggression

Економічна безпека України в умовах Гібридної Агресії

Author(s): S. V. Davydenko,O. M. Sharov,Ya. B. Basiluk,D. Yu Ventskovskyi,D. V. Lyapin,T. O. Vlasyuk,Vladimir Galugan / Language(s): Ukrainian

Macroeconomic and foreign economic trends formed under the influence of Russia's hybrid aggression against Ukraine are studied, and its consequences for the national economy are assessed. Threats to the economic security of the state are analyzed and the priorities of countering hybrid aggression are substantiated in the context of ensuring national economic interests. Ways to improve Ukraine's economic policy are proposed, which will contribute to reducing the vulnerability of the national economy to external influences and blocking the channels of its possible destabilization in conditions of hybrid aggression. It is aimed at specialists in the field of economic security and public administration, experts in the economic profile, teachers of economic disciplines, graduate students and students.

The Far East vector as an important element of Ukraine's Foreign Policy

Далекосхідний вектор як важливий елемент Зовнішньої Політики України

Author(s): K. A. Kononenko,Andriy Zakharovych Honcharuk,S. A. Koshovy / Language(s): Ukrainian

The analytical report analyzes the current state and prospects for the further development of political, trade, economic and humanitarian cooperation of Ukraine with the countries of Northeast Asia: China, Japan, South and North Korea. Possibilities, ways and main tasks related to the deepening of bilateral cooperation have been identified. Conclusions were made regarding the activation of Ukrainian foreign policy in the Far East and relevant recommendations were provided. For experts, scientists, specialists in the subject of the Asia-Pacific region, subjects of authority, representatives of public organizations and individual citizens, all those who are interested in the problems of Northeast Asia.

International Experience of Fighting Separatism: Conclusions for Ukraine

Міжнародний Досвід Боротьби із Сепаратизмом: Висновки для України

Author(s): O. O. Reznikova,A. O. Mysyura,S. V. Dryomov,K. Z. Voitovsky / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: separatism; federalism;

The international practice of use of force and non-violent methods for settlement of separatist conflict were studied as well as experience of international formats in the settlement of armed separatist conflicts. The effectiveness of certain methods and ways to counter separatism were analysed. The essence of the separatist conflict in the Donbas as a part of «hybrid» war, which Russian Federation is waging against Ukraine, was defined. The ways to resolve the conflict in Donbas by methods that proved to be effective were proposed. Aimed at specialists in the field of national security, public administration, public officials, scientists and anyone interested in issues of national security.

Temporary Suspension of Cargo Movement across the Contact Line within the borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk Regions: Assessments, Consequences, Solutions

ТИМЧАСОВЕ ПРИПИНЕННЯ ПЕРЕМІЩЕННЯ ВАНТАЖІВ ЧЕРЕЗ ЛІНІЮ ЗІТКНЕННЯ У МЕЖАХ ДОНЕЦЬКОЇ ТА ЛУГАНСЬКОЇ ОБЛАСТЕЙ: ОЦІНКИ, НАСЛІДКИ, РІШЕНН

Author(s): Volodymyr Horbulin,Alexander Stepanovich Vlasyuk,O. M. Lyashenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Ukrainian society and the international community do not have a complete and objective picture of the situation that has developed as a result of the temporary suspension of trade and economic operations with ORDLO, which is carried out to implement the decision of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine "On urgent additional measures to counter hybrid threats to the national security of Ukraine". Instead, the position of the Russian Federation prevails in the global information field, which interprets this measure as a disruption of the Minsk agreements and a hostile attitude towards the population of the occupied territories. Russian dominance in the information space is aimed at stabilizing the domestic political situation in Ukraine and damages its international image. Specialists of the National Institute of Strategic Studies conducted a comprehensive analysis of the consequences of the temporary suspension of cargo transportation (TPPV) across the contact line within the Donetsk and Luhansk regions and its impact on the national security of Ukraine. The results of the analysis prove the legal validity, social necessity and socio-economic importance of the said decision, put into effect by the Decree of the President of Ukraine dated March 15, 2017 No. 62/2017. It is intended for politicians, political analysts, civil servants, scientists, educators and the general public.