Publisher: НІСД Національний інститут стратегічних досліджень

Discreditation of the electronic Voting System in the Russian Federation and new Challenges for the Introduction of digital electoral technologies in Ukraine

Дискредитація системи електронного голосування в рф та нові виклики для впровадження цифрових виборчих технологій в Україні

Author(s): O. V. Tokar-Ostapenko,I. A. Pavlenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: voting in Russian elections; voting in Ukrainian elections; Russian aggression against Ukraine;

Elections are one of the main forms of democracy in the country - the expression of the will of the people, the constitutional way of forming public authorities and local governments. As the basic principle of democratic governance is to create appropriate conditions for the will of citizens and ensure adequate representation of their interests, in many countries the development of electoral technologies is underway to introduce new ways to increase accessibility, efficiency and comfort of the voting process. voting with remote access. // Introduction of new voting technologies into the election process is a consequence of technological development. The use of these technologies must comply with the principles of democratic elections, without raising public doubts about the reliability of the voting results. That is why the issue of implementing electronic voting in democracies has been accompanied by broad professional and public discussions for many years. On the one hand, remote electronic voting (hereinafter - DEG) is a conscious future, and on the other - a source of new challenges and potential risks. At the same time, as democracies continue to discuss and carefully accumulate experience in the application of DEG, authoritarian regimes (such as the Russian Federation) can use new technologies to address the preservation of their political system.

Determination of the Level of Energy Security of Ukraine

Визначення рівня енергетичної безпеки України

Author(s): O. M. Sukhodolya,Yurii M. Kharazishvili,D. G. Bobro,G. L. Ryabtsev,S. P. Zavgorodnya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian aggression against Ukraine; Ukrain's energy dependency;

The analytical report identifies the scope and subject of energy security in terms of a systems approach. The method of determination is given, a set of indicators for assessing the level of energy security, their target and threshold values ​​are formed. Calculations of the level of energy security as of 2020 have been made. Recommendations were given to the executive authorities on the application of the methodology for assessing the level of energy security and threat assessment in the system of energy and national security. // Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the fields of energy, economics, national security, government entities, energy market actors, representatives of public organizations, as well as anyone interested in energy security. The study will be useful in the formation of energy policy, strategic planning in the field of energy security, sound choice of policy instruments aimed at realizing the national interests of Ukraine.

Remote electronic voting as a mechanism for exercising the voting rights of Ukrainian citizens abroad (in the context of the application of European e-voting standards)

Дистанційне електронне голосування як механізм реалізації виборчих прав громадян України, що перебувають за кордоном (у контексті застосування європейських стандартів електронного голосування)

Author(s): O. V. Tokar-Ostapenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

The analytical report emphasizes that Ukraine has a good potential for the implementation of e-government, including remote electronic voting. Some problematic moments of realization of voting rights by citizens who are permanently or temporarily outside Ukraine are outlined. Prospects, risks and warnings about piloting information and communication technologies of voting in the near future are considered. It was stressed that such a pilot project is possible with acceptable risks for voting of Ukrainian citizens abroad, as the percentage of votes cast in a foreign constituency does not significantly affect the results of national elections. Relevant recommendations are given.

Transformation of Special Services of Independent States of the Post-Soviet Space

Трансформація спеціальних служб незалежних держав пострадянського простору

Author(s): V. O. Palivoda / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: KGB; Secret Service; Intelligence Services;

t different stages of the historical development of any state, the role of its special services and their place in the system of state bodies is changing. In this context, the USSR has a special place, because after the collapse of the Soviet Union on its territory appeared 15 new subjects of international law, each of which began its own state-building processes with the formation of national intelligence services (to some extent on the basis of Soviet heritage).

Analysis of the results of the election campaign to local authorities on October 25, 2020

Аналіз результатів виборчої кампанії до місцевих органів влади 25 жовтня 2020 р.

Author(s): I. A. Pavlenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: 2020 regional elections in Ukraine;

Analysis of the results of the 2020 election campaign to local authorities allows us to identify several important trends in domestic political processes taking place in Ukraine. Including, concerning some features of development of party system and processes of regionalization. The obtained data, in turn, will help to more accurately identify the main risks to the system of public and political governance and should be taken into account when formulating a strategy for further regional development of the country, in particular - prospects for decentralization reform. // For greater clarity and understanding of domestic political processes in dynamics, we will compare the results of the 2020 election campaign with the results of the 2015 local elections.

State system of critical infrastructure protection in the system of national security

Державна система захисту критичної інфраструктури в системі забезпечення національної безпеки

Author(s): O.M. Sukhodoli / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: critical infrastructure in Ukraine; national security in Ukraine;

The analytical report addresses the organizational and legal issues of protection (security) and sustainability of critical infrastructure in terms of management approaches. Based on the results of the review of foreign experience, the connection between issues of protection (security) of critical infrastructure and national security is demonstrated, as well as the influence of the maturity of public security and defense governance mechanisms on the choice of one or another model of protection of vital infrastructure systems. objects. In this context, the state of implementation of the concept of critical infrastructure protection in Ukraine and possible options for the development of public policy in this area are analyzed, recommendations for its improvement are offered. //Designed for representatives of government agencies, scientists, independent experts, representatives of public organizations and individuals, all who are interested in the problems of national security of Ukraine.

The Middle East and North Africa as Ukraine's sphere of interests

Близький Схід і Північна Африка як сфера інтересів України

Author(s): O. V. Litvinenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukjraine and Middle East; Ukraine and Maghreb-States; Ukraine and North Africa; failed democracy;

This report is dedicated to the region traditionally referred to as the Middle East and North Africa (MENA, hereinafter referred to as the Ukrainian equivalent of this abbreviation - BSPA). Its borders almost reproduce the perimeter of the former Ottoman Empire with the exception of its European possessions. The region currently includes a number of Arab countries and one autonomy: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Kuwait, the KSA, Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE, Oman, Yemen, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, and the Palestinian Authority1. In this report, we will follow a conservative - that is, narrow - definition of the region's borders. A special place on the map of the region is occupied by three non-Arab countries (more precisely, countries with a predominantly non-Arab population) - Israel, Turkey and Iran. As of the beginning of 2020, the population of the region is 449 million people, and the total GDP is 3.61 trillion dollars. The region covers a number of countries with different levels of economic, political and social development: from the G20 member states of the world's largest economies to middle-income countries, poor countries and at least four failed & fragile states.

"Active measures" of the USSR against the USA: a prologue to a hybrid war

«Активні заходи» СРСР проти США: пролог до гібридної війни

Author(s): D. V. Dubov,Anastasiia Barovska,T.O. Isakova,I. O. Kovalchuk,Vladimir Pavlovich Gorbulin / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian relation to USA;

Dedicated to the subject of the Soviet Union's use of "active measures" against the United States during the Cold War in order to achieve its own foreign policy goals. "Active measures" included the dissemination of disinformation, the use of agents of influence and cover organizations, manipulation of the ZMK and other methods. Today, these same methods are used within the framework of the hybrid war waged by the Russian Federation against Ukraine. Studying the experience of the Soviet-American confrontation will improve the tools for countering the modern challenges of hybrid warfare. It is intended for civil servants, specialists in the security and defense sector, as well as for the general public.

Putin's Régime facing the Challenges of Time

Режим Путіна перед Викликами Часу

Author(s): Maksym Rozumny,Ya. V. Berezhny,I. V. Valyushko,R.V. Vlasenko,D. M. Gorelov,V. S. Karavaev,I. A. Pavlenko,V. O. Semenenko,Galina D. Snigireva,O. V. Snigir / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russia and Western World;

The current state of internal and external policies of the Russian Federation is examined. Analyzed the obvious resources for preserving the national security of the Russian Federation under power, the main trends in the socio-economic and internal political life of Russia, and its external political interests and means of achieving geopolitical goals. The main scenarios for the development of the situation related to the implementation of the Kremlin’s course to renew its imperial status, including the reintegration of the post-Soviet space, confrontation with the West, have been identified expanding Russia's presence in strategically important regions of the world. The report was prepared by the Center for Research on Problems of the Russian Federation of the National Institute for Strategic Research. For scientists, political scientists, and a wide range of readers to deal with current political issues.

Current Issues of Counter-Terrorism in the World and in Ukraine

Актуальні Питання Протидії Тероризму у Світі та в Україні

Author(s): O. O. Reznikova,A. O. Mysyura,K. Z. Voitovsky / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: terrorism; counter-terrorism;

The analytical report examines current trends in the development of international terrorism, features of the fight against terrorism in the modern world, the transformation of the nature of the terrorist threat in Ukraine, mechanisms for ensuring the state's resilience to such a threat. An analysis of the norms of the legislation of Ukraine regulating legal relations in the field of combating terrorism was carried out, a number of shortcomings were identified that negatively affect the effectiveness of the national system of combating this criminal activity, and ways to improve the relevant legislation were determined. It is intended for experts, scientists, specialists in the field of national security, subjects of authority, representatives of public organizations and individual citizens, everyone who is interested in the problems of counter-terrorism, and can also be useful during the development and adoption of legislative acts, which will regulate legal relations in this area.

On the State of Development of Civil Society in Ukraine

ПРО СТАН РОЗВИТКУ ГРОМАДЯНСЬКОГО СУСПІЛЬСТВА В УКРАЇНІ

Author(s): Vasyl Yablonsky,Margarita Balakireva,Olga Mykolayivna Balakireva,Tetiana Bondar,Tetyana Vasylivna Bondar,T. V. Dzhiga,Dmytro Anatoliiovych Dmytruk,Alexander Kornievsky,A. F. Rudenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Social attitudes and practices of public self-organization in the conditions of internal and external challenges to the unity of the Ukrainian people and the European choice of Ukraine are analyzed. Attention is focused on the importance of public initiatives and the activities of civil society organizations in countering the Russian hybrid aggression against Ukraine and overcoming its consequences. In the context of the implementation of the National Strategy for Promoting the Development of Civil Society in Ukraine for 2016–2020. the political and legal environment above the promotion of state-public interaction in the establishment of European standards of democracy and solidarity society is characterized. The analytical report is addressed to civil servants and officials of local self-government bodies, public and political figures, all those who are interested in the issues of civil society and its interaction with the state in the implementation of urgent social changes and proper governance through various practices of participatory democracy.

Security Dimensions of Education Policy: Global Experience and Ukrainian Realities

БЕЗПЕКОВІ ВИМІРИ ОСВІТНЬОЇ ПОЛІТИКИ: СВІТОВИЙ ДОСВІД ТА УКРАЇНСЬКІ РЕАЛІЇ

Author(s): A. Yu. Ishchenko,S. O. Zubchenko,Andrii Karpenko,M. M. Karpenko,V. S. Lozovyi,T. V. Chernenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: national security in the educational sphere;

The issues of interrelationships and mutual influences of the educational and security spheres in the conditions of modernization challenges and external threats are analyzed. On the basis of current international experience, approaches to defining the criteria of national security in the educational sphere are proposed. The process of reforming the national education system was considered, and the key problematic points of the framework Law of Ukraine "On Education" were identified. The issue of the introduction of new forms of education as a factor in the modernization of the educational system in accordance with the needs of the economy and national security is highlighted, the state and prospects of the convergence of education, scientific research and innovation are analyzed. For scientists, public administration specialists in the field of education, national security and a wide range of readers who are interested in the problems of the development of education, science, and ensuring national security.

The Real Sector of Ukraine's Economy: Development priorities in the conditions of changing the vector of Economic Policy

РЕАЛЬНИЙ СЕКТОР ЕКОНОМІКИ УКРАЇНИ: ПРІОРИТЕТИ РОЗВИТКУ В УМОВАХ ЗМІНИ ВЕКТОРА ЕКОНОМІЧНОЇ ПОЛІТИКИ

Author(s): O. V. Sobkevich,A. V. Chernenko,K. M. Mikhailichenko,V. M. Rusan,T. G. Vasiltsev,T. O. Vlasyuk,V. V. Boyko,A. M. Shekhlovich / Language(s): Ukrainian

In the report based on the analysis of the dynamics of indicators of the functioning of the real sector of the economy of Ukraine in 2016-2017, the priorities of its development in the conditions of a change in the vector of economic policy are substantiated. The exhausting confrontation of Ukraine in the hybrid war by the Russian Federation is indicated by losses in the sectors of the real sector of the economy. An assessment of such losses has been made; a list of economic sanctions and restrictive measures by Ukraine as a reaction to Russia's aggressive behavior is given. The directions of Ukraine's cooperation with the EU in the real sector are proposed, which is determined by expanding access to capacious European sales markets, using Ukraine's opportunities to attract foreign investments and technology transfer, as well as participation in various EU development programs. The priorities of the economic policy regarding the development of the real sector of the economy are outlined, the measures of macroeconomic and foreign trade policy, economic diplomacy and international trade law aimed at leveling the destructive consequences of the hybrid war and restoring economic growth in Ukraine are defined. For scientists, specialists in public administration and a wide range of readers who are interested in the problems of the development of the real sector of the economy of Ukraine.

The Institute of Citizenship as a Regulator of the Influence on the State of ensuring National Security of Ukraine

ІНСТИТУТ ГРОМАДЯНСТВА ЯК РЕГУЛЯТОР ВПЛИВУ НА СТАН ЗАБЕЗПЕЧЕННЯ НАЦІОНАЛЬНОЇ БЕЗПЕКИ УКРАЇНИ

Author(s): S. V. Dryomov / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: citizenship in Ukraine;

The analytical report offers the results of a study of a number of problematic issues related to the acquisition and loss of Ukrainian citizenship. The content and forms of the constitutional and legal regulation of citizenship in Ukraine are studied and attention is focused on the existing problems of legislative support for the functioning of the institution of citizenship, as well as the most optimal ways of its improvement are determined. It was concluded that in modern social and political conditions, the institution of citizenship has become one of the factors that significantly affects the state of ensuring Ukraine's national security. It is proposed to consider citizenship as one of the main elements of the mechanism of admission to participation in the management of state affairs and removal from such participation of persons who have committed crimes against the foundations of national security, peace, human security and international legal order, including during the armed conflict on the territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The theoretical and practical issues of multiple citizenship are considered, the results of the study of the current state of its legislative regulation in Ukraine are presented. An analysis of individual legislative initiatives for solving problems related to the determination of the directions of state policy in this area of legal relations was carried out, and proposals were formulated for possible ways of their settlement at the national and international levels.

International Experience of Financing sustainable Development of Communities (on the Example of Network Infrastructure Formation)

МІЖНАРОДНИЙ ДОСВІД ФІНАНСУВАННЯ СТАЛОГО РОЗВИТКУ ГРОМАД (на прикладі формування мережевої інфраструктури)

Author(s): D. I., Oilynyk / Language(s): Ukrainian

The analytical report analyzes the European and international experience of financing the investment development of communities using the example of the deployment of network infrastructure and the construction of "smart" cities and "smart" communities. Special attention is paid to the role of technical regulation in the implementation of strategic priorities for the deployment of integrated network infrastructure of territorial communities, sustainable mobility and automation within the framework of the EU Global Strategy "Shared Vision, Shared Action: Strengthening Europe". For politicians, regulators, experts, scientists, specialists, subjects of authority, representatives of public organizations and individual citizens, everyone who is interested in the problems of the future development of territorial communities. The publication can be useful during the development and adoption of legislative acts that will regulate legal relations in this area.

Public-Private Partnership in the field of Cyber Security: International Experience and Opportunities for Ukraine

ДЕРЖАВНО-ПРИВАТНЕ ПАРТНЕРСТВО У СФЕРІ КІБЕРБЕЗПЕКИ: МІЖНАРОДНИЙ ДОСВІД ТА МОЖЛИВОСТІ ДЛЯ УКРАЇНИ

Author(s): D. V. Dubov,V. O. Boyko,S. L. Hnatyuk,M. A. Ozhevan,A. V. Pokrovska / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: cyber-security;

The analytical report is devoted to the issues of forming an effective public-private partnership on cyber security issues. Theoretical approaches to public-private partnership and their peculiarities in cyber security issues are analyzed. The world experience (USA, EU, Germany, Great Britain, Poland) in building trust between the public and private sectors in cyberspace security issues has been studied. The regulatory, legal and organizational foundations of public-private partnership in Ukraine are considered, and effective examples of such partnership are given. Prospective directions for the development of cyber security public-private partnership in Ukraine and possible ways of their implementation are outlined.

Innovative Development of Territorial Communities in the Conditions of the Fourth Technological Revolution: Priorities and Perspectives

ІННОВАЦІЙНИЙ РОЗВИТОК ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИХ ГРОМАД В УМОВАХ ЧЕТВЕРТОЇ ТЕХНОЛОГІЧНОЇ РЕВОЛЮЦІЇ: ПРІОРИТЕТИ ТА ПЕРСПЕКТИВИ

Author(s): D. I., Oilynyk / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: territorial communities;

The analytical report provides an overview of modern models and scenarios of innovative development of territorial communities in the context of the transition to the fourth technological revolution and reflects probable scenarios for Ukraine. The main directions of the formation of a systemic approach to modeling the process of integration of territorial communities into the ecosystem space declared by the world community are illustrated by the experience of developed foreign countries regarding the integration of various and complex innovative technologies into national innovative systems, which are combined on a planetary scale into a network infrastructure based on digital assets. Some theoretical approaches to the modeling of territorial communities are considered, the factors and possible results in the modeling of management systems for the innovative development of territorial communities through the implementation of relevant functions and a holistic view of the processes, resources, objects (infrastructure) of innovative activity, which form the innovative basis for development of appropriate development strategies.

Security Factors of Education Policy: International Experience and Ukrainian Realities

Security Factors of Education Policy: International Experience and Ukrainian Realities

Author(s): T. V. Chernenko,A. Yu. Ishchenko,M. M. Karpenko,V. S. Lozovyi,S. O. Zubchenko / Language(s): English

The issues of interrelationships and mutual influences of the educational and security spheres in the conditions of modernization challenges and external threats are analyzed. On the basis of current international experience, approaches to defining the criteria of national security in the educational sphere are proposed. The process of reforming the national education system was considered, and the key problematic points of the framework Law of Ukraine "On Education" were identified. The issue of the introduction of new forms of education as a factor in the modernization of the educational system in accordance with the needs of the economy and national security is highlighted, the state and prospects of the convergence of education, scientific research and innovation are analyzed. For scientists, public administration specialists in the field of education, national security and a wide range of readers who are interested in the problems of the development of education, science, and ensuring national security.

Current State, Problems and Prospects of the Creation of Oil and Energy Reserves in Ukraine

СУЧАСНИЙ СТАН, ПРОБЛЕМИ І ПЕРСПЕКТИВИ СТВОРЕННЯ В УКРАЇНІ НАФТОВОГО ТА ЕНЕРГЕТИЧНОГО РЕЗЕРВІВ

Author(s): O. M. Dudkin,A. N. Minev,A. O. Mitsai,V. A. Mosiychuk,G. L. Ryabtsev,S. V. Sapiegin,O. M. Sukhodolya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: oil supply; oil industry;

We have analyzed the secret methodology for dealing with crises, which is caused by failures in the supply of oil and naphtha products, and examines the officials who are responsible for these crises in the member states of the European Union. The problems associated with the approval of minimal reserves of petroleum and petroleum products in Ukraine have been strengthened. The process of forming these reserves was analyzed and their infrastructure elements were monitored. A model for the creation of minimal reserves of naphtha and petroleum products has been developed and a financial and economic analysis has been developed. The prospects for the development of this model and the creation of naphtha and energy reserves in Ukraine have been identified. The priorities of policy in this area have been established, and recommendations have been made to the central authorities of the royal government. Insured for representatives of the sphere of national, economic and energy security, representatives of government bodies who formulate and implement the state policy of energy security and the state policy in the nafta sector.

«In the Interests of the International Power... »: Problems of Discovery and against Invasion Agents

«В ІНТЕРЕСАХ ІНШОЇ ДЕРЖАВИ…»: ПРОБЛЕМИ ВИЯВЛЕННЯ ТА ПРОТИДІЇ АГЕНТАМ ВПЛИВУ

Author(s): D. V. Dubov,Iryna Koretska / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: agents: foreign agernts; influx agents;

Dedicated to the problems of identifying and preventing the activity of influx agents the theoretical aspects of the concept of “influx agent” and the problems of legal qualification of their activities have been explored. The practice of attracting agents up to the point of resemblance in the historical context (the Cold War period) and at the current stage is examined. The country against the activity of influx agents in Ukraine has been closely monitored. Ukrainian criminal legislation in this particular area has been analyzed, problematic aspects of the provisions of Articles 110 and 111 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine have been identified, examples of the activities of agents in Ukraine have been submitted and reviewed It is clear that accusations have been brought against these agents. Based on the results of the investigation, specific recommendations were made to the authorities on strategic directions for improving Ukrainian legislation and preventive measures in the field of anti-influx agents. For government officials, scientists and a wide range of readers who will discuss the problems of national security.