Publisher: НІСД Національний інститут стратегічних досліджень

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Strategic price of Russian aggression for Ukrainian economy (The study covers the period before the full-scale invasion on February 24, 2022) Analytical report

Стратегічна ціна Російської агресії для економіки України (Дослідження охоплює період, що передує повномасштабному вторгненню 24 лютого 2022 року)

Author(s): Author Not Specified / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian aggression against Ukraine;

The systemic economic and social effect of hybrid aggression, which the Russian Federation has been carrying out against Ukraine since 2014, has been studied. The combination of direct losses of natural, material and human resources due to the occupation of part of Ukraine with the creation of significant obstacles to economic and social development of the country, narrowing the choice of development paths. The adaptability of the Ukrainian economy to these negative consequences was assessed and steps were taken to overcome them. A vision of the principles of the strategy of easing the price of Russian aggression for Ukraine and reducing the sensitivity of the national economy to further hybrid influences is proposed.

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Transnistrian conflict: Lessons for Ukraine

Придністровський конфлікт: Уроки для України

Author(s): A. O. Filipenko,Larysa Filipenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: frozen conflicts; Russian aggression against Ukraine; Putin's imperialism;

Russia's aggression against Ukraine has helped restore attention to military and political conflicts in the post-Soviet space and the experience of resolving them. Especially those that took place with the direct participation of the Russian Federation (RF), namely - Transnistria, conflicts in Georgia (Abkhazia and Tskhinvali region), which actually continued the Russian-Georgian war in 2008. Each of them differs in the duration of the military phase, the scale of hostilities and the number of victims, economic and political consequences, the level and nature of political and military involvement of the Russian Federation. // As a result of these conflicts, quasi-state entities (the Transnistrian Moldavian Republic (TMR), the Republic of Abkhazia and the Republic of South Ossetia) have been created, which are under Russian control and receive political, military, financial, economic and informational assistance from from Moscow. // These state formations have different political and legal status. The Republic of Abkhazia and the Republic of South Ossetia have been recognized by Russia and several of its client states since the 2008 Russian-Georgian war, while the Transnistrian region has not been recognized.

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Legislation and Approaches of Foreign Countries to resolve the problems of Implementation of the Rights, Freedoms and Obligations of Citizens belonging to Roma

Законодавство та підходи іноземних країн щодо розв’язання проблем реалізації прав, свобод і обов’язків громадян, які належать до Ромської національної меншини

Author(s): V. O. Bakalchuk,Svitlana V. Dubova,Yulia Tyshchenko,J. B. Kaplan / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Ukrainian Roma; Roma integration;

General context: According to the 2001 All-Ukrainian Census, the number of Roma in Ukraine is 47,000. According to unofficial estimates, the country can be home to communities of 200,000 to 400,000 Roma, and these communities have varying degrees of integration into Ukrainian society. The Roma community remains one of the most vulnerable social groups in Ukrainian society, despite the completion of the Strategy for the Protection and Integration of the Roma National Minority into Ukrainian Society until 20202 (2020 Strategy) and the Action Plan for its implementation. The new strategy for Roma integration was approved by the Order of the Cabinet of Ministers of July 28, 2021 № 866-r. "On approval of the Strategy to promote the realization of the rights and opportunities of persons belonging to the Roma national minority in Ukrainian society until 2030" (Strategy 2030). The 2030 Strategy Action Plan is being developed. The need to develop an effective policy for the integration of the Roma community is in line with Ukraine's European integration aspirations, and is also part of the practice of implementing the best European experience in the process of optimizing state policy on minority communities.

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On conceptual approaches to a rural development strategy

Щодо концептуальних підходів до стратегії розвитку села

Author(s): Author Not Specified / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: rural development in Ukraine; the Ukrainian village;

VISION: The development of a new Ukrainian village should be based on the principles of inclusive human-centric development of rural, urban communities, which provides: *) comfortable living of a person, family, an important condition of which is a developed and modern social, communal, transport, engineering infrastructure, adapted to the latest technological advances and individual needs of residents; *) development of human potential through meeting the needs of the population in educational, cultural, physical, spiritual enrichment, dissemination of digitalization, electronic services and services in rural areas; *) realization of labor potential of community members through decent work of appropriate professional and qualification levels, which ensures the well-being of them and their family members;*) implementation of entrepreneurial initiative in the real sector of the economy, services and individual self-employment; *) sustainable development of rural settlements by creating conditions in which economic growth, material production and meeting the needs of modern society occur within the limits that ensure the restoration of ecosystems and do not endanger the viability of present and future generations.

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New district division: problems of functioning, prospects of improvement

Новий районний поділ: проблеми функціонування, перспективи удосконалення

Author(s): G. V. Makarov,A. V. Duda / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: administrative districts in Ukraine;

This analytical report is devoted to the second stage of administrative-territorial reform in Ukraine, which was carried out in accordance with the Resolution of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine "On the formation and liquidation of districts" of July 17, 2020. Attention was drawn to the problem of ensuring the legitimacy of district councils, as enlarged districts have greater potential in possible conflicts with public authorities. It is recommended to establish a system for monitoring the effectiveness of the new district division in order to adjust it in the future in accordance with the achieved goals of the reform. In addition, recommendations are provided for resolving related issues by improving the relevant regulatory framework.

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Modern Russian Way of War: Theoretical Fundamentals and Practical Content

Сучасний Російський спосіб ведення війни: теоретичні основи і практичне наповнення

Author(s): M. M. Veleskov / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Russian agression against Ukraine;

The current (2021!) Russian way of waging war is studied, the analysis of which is one of the main prerequisites for high-quality defense planning of Ukraine in the conditions of preservation of the Russian threat and disparity of power potentials in favor of the Russian Federation. The role and place of military policy in the great strategy of the Russian Federation is determined. The theoretical foundations of the modern Russian way of waging war are analyzed, including the factors influencing the planning and conduct of operations. The main features of the current Russian doctrine of operations, as well as its reflection on certain types and types of troops of the Russian Armed Forces in practice are identified. // Designed for experts, scientists and specialists in the field of defense planning and national security, civil servants, representatives of public organizations and anyone interested in the evolution of forms and methods of using troops (forces).

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Accessibility of Energy for the Population: Problems and Prospects

Доступність енергії для населення: проблеми та перспективи

Author(s): S. P. Zavgorodnya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: energy supply; access to energy for all; Development Goals of Ukraine;

The problems of ensuring the availability of energy for the population, which is one of the most important aspects of achieving the Goal "Ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy sources for all" among the Sustainable Development Goals of Ukraine for the period up to 2030. Given the European integration vector of development of our country, the current trends in ensuring the availability of energy for the population in the EU member states and Ukraine are analyzed. The institutional features of identifying and combating energy poverty in EU member states, key issues of implementation of EU legislation and implementation of foreign experience in Ukraine to ensure access to energy for the population are identified. // Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the fields of public administration, economics, social development and national security, civil servants, representatives of public organizations and anyone interested in ensuring access to energy for the population and combating energy poverty.

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Regulatory and legal support and management of the election process - evaluation of efficiency and recommendations (following the results of the 2020 election campaign)

Нормативно-правове забезпечення та управління виборчим процесом – оцінка ефективності та рекомендації (за підсумками виборчої кампанії-2020)

Author(s): I. A. Pavlenko,O. O. Danilyak,G. V. Makarov / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: electoral system in Ukraine;

The Analytical Report considers the peculiarities of the application of the new electoral model during the elections to local authorities in 2020. Estimates are given of the changes that the party system of Ukraine has undergone due to the widespread use of the proportional system of elections and the decentralization reform. Some shortcomings of the election process administration have been identified. In addition, during the preparation of the report, the assessments and recommendations of international organizations that observed the 2020 elections were analyzed. Based on the analysis, recommendations were developed to amend the Electoral Code of Ukraine in order to eliminate shortcomings in the organization and conduct of election campaigns, as well as to improve the implementation of representative functions of deputies by local councils.

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Creating a Barrier-Free Environment and Social Inclusion: a World Experience for Ukraine

Створення безбар’єрного середовища та соціальна інклюзія: світовий досвід для України

Author(s): S. O. Zubchenko,Yu. B. Kaplan,Yulia Tyshchenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: social inclusion; barrier-free access;

Current national practices on barrier-free and social inclusion in some foreign countries are discussed. A brief description of the relevant program documents is given, their general methodology, interrelation with European and international acts are outlined. An overview of some measures in the areas of social, economic, civic, physical and digital accessibility, as well as universal infrastructure design, which can be tested in Ukraine.

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Energy Security of Ukraine: Methodology of System Analysis and Strategic Planning

Енергетична безпека України: методологія системного аналізу та стратегічного планування

Author(s): O. M. Sukhodolya,Yurii M. Kharazishvili,D. G. Bobro,A. Yu. Smenkovsky,G. L. Ryabtsev,S. P. Zavgorodnya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: energy security of Ukraine;

The analytical report examines the problems of assessing and strategizing the level of energy security. A model for assessing the state of energy security in the national security system is proposed, a set of indicators for assessing energy security is formalized, calculations of the state and threats to energy security of Ukraine are performed according to the modern methodology of integrated assessment. Strategic scenarios of energy security development in the context of sustainable development are substantiated. Recommendations for legislative regulation of the activities of entities in the field of energy security have been developed. // Designed for experts, scientists, specialists in the fields of energy, economics, national security, government entities, energy market actors, representatives of public organizations, as well as anyone interested in energy security. The study will be useful in the formulation of energy policy, strategic planning in the field of economic and energy development, energy security, the formation of energy and national security assessments, development and adoption of regulations governing legal relations in this area.

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Reforming the Solidarity Pension System of Ukraine

Реформування солідарної пенсійної системи України

Author(s): O. P. Koval / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: pension system in Ukraine;

The current state and development trends of the solidarity component of the pension system of Ukraine are analyzed. The most typical proposals of experts on its improvement are generalized. The author's vision of measures to reform the solidarity component of the pension system of Ukraine, capable of ensuring stable welfare, is formulated.

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Energy Weapons in Russia's geopolitical Strategy

Енергетична зброя у геополітичній стратегії Росії

Author(s): O. M. Sukhodolya / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: energy supply as wapon; energy in Russia's geostrategy;

Is energy an element of the national security system? Is energy used as a tool to achieve political goals? Were the causes of various "energy crises" in the post-Soviet space really purely economic? // Does Russia have a strategy to use energy weapons to realize its geopolitical ambitions? These questions have often been raised in the political, economic, and security discourses of various actors in world politics. For Western countries, they are rather a manifestation of curiosity and theoretical discussion about various possible developments in distant Eastern Europe. At the same time, for the countries of Eastern Europe themselves, the possible answers influenced the formation of policies and the consolidation of national security priorities. Moreover, the principal choice of the direction of integration processes was actually determined. // For Russia, on the other hand, energy has always been an instrument of politics, not economics. This position is clearly traced in the conceptual developments of scientists, strategic documents in the field of national security and practical actions of various institutions to implement the latter. For Russia, the use of energy weapons focused only on finding the most effective methods, tools and instruments for its use. // In recent decades, Russia has enriched the experience of using energy as a political weapon and formed new tools for its use in a hybrid confrontation with the West. Obviously, from now on this will become a constant source of risks to the stability of life in many countries around the world and will require constant monitoring of new types of threats generated by the use of energy weapons. The proposed study is aimed at understanding the conceptual foundations and organizational aspects of energy implementation in the system of ensuring the realization of Russia's national interests in the international arena.

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The Putin Regime: Reloading-2018

Режим Путіна: Перезавантаження-2018

Author(s): Maksym Rozumnyi,I. V. Valyushko,D. M. Gorelov,V. S. Karavaev,A. V. Lepikhov,I. A. Pavlenko / Language(s): Ukrainian

Keywords: Putin's Russia;

The end of 2017 - the beginning of 2018 passed quite predictably for Russia. The preparation for the presidential elections left a minimum of space for experiments and innovations in domestic and foreign policy. The regime quite consciously implemented an inertial scenario of preserving power, along the way only taking measures to avoid dangers and risks of destabilization. It can be said that during this period, the main security mechanisms were refined and established, thanks to which the current level of control of the situation in the country by the Kremlin was previously achieved and will continue to be maintained.

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