DEMOGRAFICZNE ŹRÓDŁA KONFLIKTU NA KAUKAZIE PÓŁNOCNYM
DEMOGRAFIC CAUSES OF THE CONFLICT IN THE NORTH CAUCASUS

Summary/Abstract: The article analyzes the demographic causes of the conflict in the North Caucasus. In particular, phenomena such as natural movement of the population(births, deaths) and migrations. The demographic growth in the second half of the 20th century was a key conflictogenic factor in the time of wars and conflicts at the declining stage of the USSR in the 90’s. Especially dangerous was the second stage of the demographic transition, when low death rate was accompanied by continuous high birth rate. The people of the North Caucasus, however, have almost reached(with certain exceptions such as Chechenya) the end of the demographic transition and so, the high population growth is going to play a lesser role in stirring up the conflicts. The main problem are migrations and their socioeconomic as well as psychological effects. The problem applies to movements from the mountains to the valleys, from the villages to the cities and from the Caucasus to the inland Russia.The migrants, who often meet failures in their lives and suffer from certain imbalance of their value system, become a basic “target” for islamic underground when recruiting new members.

• Details
• Contents