GEOPOLITYCZNA TRANSFORMACJA ŚWIATA PO ZIMNEJ WOJNIE
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMACTION OF THE WORLD AFTER COLD WAR

Summary/Abstract: The subject of the article are the changes in the global distribution of power after the Cold War. At the beginning, a demographic background was presented in the long-term horizon (1800 - 2050). Then, using the formal model and – as a supplementary factor – experts’ opinions, changes in the geopolitical structure of the world were presented. According to the author, their depth justifies the term "geopolitical transformation". The article also contains a one-variant forecast of the global balance of power in the perspective of 2050. The results of the research have shown that the largest winnings of the "geopolitical transformation" process are East Asian countries (with the exception of Japan, which is one of the most lost countries) and some African countries. The most losers are the countries of Western Europe.

• Details
• Contents