RAZVOJ POMOĆNE METODE PROCJENE BROJA STANOVNIKA: POTROŠNJA VODE KAO INDIKATOR DEPOPULACIJE
WATER CONSUMPTION AS A METHOD OF ESTIMATING POPULATION
Author(s): Tado JurićSubject(s): Methodology and research technology, Demography and human biology, Migration Studies
Published by: Sveučilište u Mostaru i Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar, Zagreb
Keywords: emigration from Slavonia; water consumption; population estimation method; census; DZS;
Summary/Abstract: A special problem in Croatian demographic research is the methodological inconsistency and questionability of official data at several levels. This problem is not only a mere administrative issue. I this paper we develop a new method for determining the actual population, which we tested in Eastern Croatia. The method involves monitoring water consumption in households in wider areas as an indicator of population decline. We believe that the method could be particularly useful as a predictive indicator. Results: All Slavonian counties have a decline of 7.37 to 8.37% of the population from 2011 to 2019, and the trend is particularly strong after Croatia’s accession to the EU. Since Croatia’s accession to the EU, the population of Eastern Croatia has decreased by 105,698 citizens through natural movement and emigration, which is 8.7% of the total population of Slavonia compared to the last census from 2011.
Journal: Mostariensia - časopis za društvene i humanističke znanosti
- Issue Year: 25/2021
- Issue No: 1-2
- Page Range: 101-131
- Page Count: 31
- Language: Croatian
