Mișcări tectonice ideologice. Primele semne ale Europei viitoare
Ideological Tectonic Shifts: Early Signs of Europe’s Future

Summary/Abstract: This article analyzes Europe’s ongoing political transformation through the lens of ideological tectonics, arguing that recent turbulence reflects deep structural shifts rather than episodic disruptions. Four major shocks in the last two decades – the 2008 financial crisis, the migration wave, the COVID-19 pandemic,and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – have accelerated long-term realignments in political cleavages, value structures, and identities. Empirical indicators include the emergence of new cultural and geopolitical cleavages, gradual shifts in the underlying value structure, recurrent electoral anomalies, and a widening gap between social demand and political supply. These dynamics are further intensified by demographic change and the large-scale use of social media, which amplifies polarization and identity-based clustering. The article outlines potential new party types and proposes five scenarios for Europe’s political evolution, concluding that the continent is undergoing a profound ideological shift whose outcomes remain uncertain and require institutional and civic preparedness.

• Details
• Contents