WPŁYW ZMIAN DEMOGRAFICZNYCH NA STABILNOŚĆ DOCHODÓW I WYDATKÓW MIAST NA PRAWACH POWIATU W WOJEWÓDZTWIE ŚLĄSKIM W LATACH 2009-2022
THE IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES ON THE STABILITY OF REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE OF CITIES WITH COUNTY RIGHTS IN THE SILESIAN VOIVODESHIP IN 2009-2022

Summary/Abstract: Purpose - To identify the impact of demographic change factors on the stability of revenue and expenditure of cities with county rights in the Silesian Voivodeship in 2009-2022. Research method - The study was conducted for all 19 cities with county rights in the Silesian Voivodeship. To assess the impact of demographic factors on the stability of total revenue and total expenditure per capita in selected local government units, the multiple regression method and the correlation method were used. Next, to optimally select the explanatory variables for forecasting the amount of revenue and expenditure per capita in selected local government units in 2023, the Hellwig method was used. Results - The results of the conducted research show that the level of the demographic dependency ratio was the factor significantly influencing the amount of total revenue and expenditure per capita in most of the researched local government units in 2009-2022. The presented trend proves that the ongoing demographic processes have an impact on the finances of local government units. In the future, a significant increase in expenditure is expected due to the increasing level of the demographic dependency ratio. Originality / value / implications / recommendations - The research brings added value in terms of testing individual demographic factors that significantly affect the stability of revenue and expenditure of cities with county rights.

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