Küreselleşme Sürecinde Türk Devletleri Teşkilatı’nın Türkiye’nin Uluslararası Ticaretine Etkisi
The Impact of the Organization of Turkic States on Turkiye’s International Trade in the Process of Globalization

Summary/Abstract: Globalization is defined as the process through which all tangible and intangible values possessed by nations transcend national boundaries and acquire universal significance, driven by the development of political, economic, and cultural relations among countries. Polarization, on the other hand, refers to the concentration of economic development in certain regions and the subsequent diffusion of this concentration to other areas. This diffusion effect is generally perceived as a positive economic phenomenon. Strong polar centers can stimulate economic growth in their surrounding regions through their gravitational influence. Moreover, if the diffusion effect of such strong polar centers surpasses the repulsion effect, new centers may emerge. In this context, the Organization of Turkic States (OTS), led by Turkey, serves as a pertinent example. For the Türkiye to become a global polar center, it must attain a sufficient level of economic concentration. OTS aims to foster economic, political, and cultural cooperation among the Turkic countries under Türkiye’s leadership. Within the framework of the “customs union” model of economic integration, the integration of the OTS has been analyzed using time-series data in the R Project environment through GADF, Zivot–Andrews, ARDL, Breusch–Godfrey, Breusch–Pagan, and Jarque–Bera tests. The long- and short-term coefficient estimates of our hypotheses, F-bound test results, Granger causality analysis and findings, as well as the CUSUM graph, demonstrate that both the OTS and Türkiye have a positive impact on the export-to-import coverage ratio and on GDP.

• Details
• Contents