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Foreign Policy Insight, Issue 2015 - 04 (Special Issue)
Ukraine-EU Summit: What will save European integration of Ukrane?
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Ukraine-EU Summit: What will save European integration of Ukrane?
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Foreign Policy Strategies and Decisions // Is a peaceful settlement possible? // The deadlock // Disposition of the parties // Will Astana take place? // Is there a way out? // Multilevel nature of the conflict // Peaceful dialogue instead of military conflict // Regional and global focus: implications for Ukraine // Syrian shifts and the Ukraine-Russia conflict
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1. The new European security architecture // 2. Possibilities of involving international peacekeepers to settle the Ukrainian-Russian conflict // 3."Homework" for Ukraine's economy: financial aid from the international community
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1. Kyiv's diplomatic swings: peacekeepers instead of Minsk accords // Hybrid war peacekeeping strategy // Russian "blitzkrieg" postponed // Why Poroshenko changed his mind // What are the possible options of peacekeeping today? // 2. Sanctions against Russia: Ukraine lags behind its western partners
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The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant: who will stop Islamic fundamentalism
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Reforming the UN Security Council and the position of Ukraine.
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Geopolitical chessboard: The Syrian crisis and Ukraine. Is there a connection?
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1. Political competition // 1.1. Positions of key political players // 1.2. Russian military threat as consolidation factor // 2. Economic situation // 2.1. Exchange rate // 2.2. State budget // 2.3. International aid // 3. State decisions // 3.1. HR policy
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1. Political competition // 1.1. “Praviy sektor” enters the game // 1.2. Vitali Klitschko displays civil position and loyalty to Maidan’s ideals // 1.3. Petro Poroshenko shows presidential ambitions // 1.4. Svoboda forms power vertical in its basic regions // 1.5. Batkivshchyna fails to launch election campaign brightly // 1.6. Party of regions will have primaries // 2. State decisions // 2.1. Combination of decentralization and centralization // 2.2. Need for macrostrategy in reforms // 2.3. Response to mistakes in HR policy
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1. State Decisions // 1.1. Decisions of War // 1.2. Decisions of Peace // 2. Economic Situation // 2.1. Macroeconomic Trends and Course of Actions by Government // 2.2. Macrofinancial Aid to Ukraine // 2.3. Banking Sector // 3. Political Competition // 3.1. “Kolo Doviry Maidanu” Becomes a New Political Player // 3.2. Policy of “Praviy Sektor” Requires Changes // 3.3. “Western Style” of Vitaliy Klitschko’s Campaign // 3.4. Reforms are Expected from “Batkivshchyna” and “Svoboda” // 3.5. Passivity of Party of Regions in the East Cuts their Chances
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1. State decisions // 1.1. Inaction leads to early resignations // 1.2. Need for dialogue between the Maidan and the government // 1.3. The regulatory framework needed // 2. Economic consequences of Crimea annexation // 2.1. Autonomous dependence // 2.2. Direct losses of Ukraine // 2.3. Indirect losses of Ukraine // 2.4. Expected government actions // 3. Political competition // 3.1. The Maidan will control the government // 3.2. “Right Sector” should look into the future, not the past // 3.3. Active parliamentary work of UDAR on Crimea // 3.4. Yulia Tymoshenko’s return to politics // 3.5. Existential crisis of the Party of Regions
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1. State decisions // 1.2. Anti-crisis package focuses on finances rather than economy // 1.3. Counteracting Russian expansion in Crimea // 2. Economic situation // 2.1. Anti-crisis package is a key to the IMF financing // 2.2. Amendments to the 2014 budget // 2.3. Government tax initiatives // 2.4. Assessment of the approved initiatives // 3. Political competition // 3.1. Synergy of Petro Poroshenko and Vitali Klitschko // 3.2. Regional fate of the Party of Regions // 3.3. Difficulties the Maidan representatives face // 3.4. Change in Tymoshenko’s rhetoric
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1. The Government policy // 1.1. The Achievements of the Yatseniuk Government // 1.2. First failures // 1.3. The Yatseniuk Government’s “homework assignments” // 2. Political competition // 2.1. The overly promising platform of Yulia Tymoshenko // 2.2. Poroshenko vs Tymoshenko: two leaders – one rhetoric // 2.3. Sergiy Tigipko strives for the Party of Regions’ heritage // 2.4. Blatantly pro-Russian position of Mykhailo Dobkin // 2.5. Medically political program of Olga Bogomolets // 2.6. Revolutionary Dmytro Yarosh
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1. The Government policy // 1.1. Insufficient fight against separatism in Donbas // 1.2. Parliamentary victories of the Government // 1.3. Ignoring the public could lead to a new Maidan // 2. Economic situation // 2.1. The NBU takes the situation on FX market under control // 2.2. Economic outcome of the Law on occupied territories // 2.3. The Government starts reverse gas supplies to Ukraine // 3. Political competition // 3.1. Poroshenko forms his team // 3.2. Vitali Klitschko can lose his party // 3.3. Dynamic start of Tymoshenko’s campaign // 3.4. Party of Regions slowly recovers from the Maidan
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1. The Government policy // 1.1. Destabilizing factor in the East // 1.2. The Government should not forget about the Crimea // 1.3. The practice of party quotas continues // 2. Economic situation // 2.1. Ukrainian banks leave Crimea // 2.2. From Crimea to the East // 2.3. Foreign trade: the EU concessions and trade war with Russia // 2.4. Trends of energy market // 3. Political competition // 3.1. Poroshenko remains favorite of the elections // 3.2. Defeating the separatism may give advantage to Tymoshenko // 3.3. The Party of Regions relies only on Donbas // 3.4. Alternatives to major political players
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1. The Government policy // 1.1. Managerial failures of the anti-terrorist operation // 1.2. The Government has not defined its information policy // 1.3. The importance of oligarchs’ position on fighting separatism // 2. Economic situation // 2.1. Deterioration of economic indicators // 2.2. Problems of banking sector // 2.3. Situation in the energy market // 3. Political competition // 3.1. Poroshenko’s desire to hold elections in one round // 3.2. Lost hopes of Yulia Tymoshenko // 3.3. Vitali Klitschko starts in Kyiv
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1. The Government Policy // 1.1. Artificial incitement of civil conflict in Odessa // 1.2. The reason for police inefficiency is corruption // 1.3. The fight for Anti-Corruption Bureau // 2. Economic Situation / 2.1. Issue of double taxation in banking system // 2.2. Aggravation of trade war with Russia // 2.3. Situation on the energy market // 3. Political Competition // 3.1. New Triple Alliance in Ukrainian politics // 3.2. The aggressive campaign of Yulia Tymoshenko // 3.3. Election threats by the representatives of the Party of Regions
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1. The Government Policy // 1.1. Pseudo-referendum is meant to increase stakes in the game // 1.2. Absence of Government’s information campaign // 1.3. The need for Ukrainian-Ukrainian dialogue // 2. Economic Situation // 2.1. The IMF restored cooperation with Ukraine // 2.2. Introduction of financial ombudsman position // 2.3. Issues in the energy sector // 3. Political Competition // 3.1. Poroshenko is confident in his victory // 3.2. Tymoshenko copies other candidates // 3.3. The Party of Regions is in decline // 3.4. The fate of the Communist Party to be determined only by the voters
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1. The Government Policy // 1.1. The Government failed to counter the challenges of hybrid war // 1.2. Lack of changes in law enforcement and courts // 1.3. Economic changes take place only under the IMF pressure // 1.4. Signing the Association Agreement is Government’s half-victory // 1.5. Nothing mentioned about administrative reform // 2. Economic Situation // 2.1. The Government is ready to compromise on taxes // 2.2. The gas question continues to provide challenges // 2.3. A food crisis looms in Crimea... and not only // 3. Political Competition // 3.1. Petro Poroshenko: A sociological hegemony // 3.2. Yulia Tymoshenko: Kill all the oligarchs! // 3.3. Serhiy Tihipko: Going for the bronze? // 3.4. Party of the Regions: Bent on self-destruction // 3.5. New faces fail to make hay // 3.6. Oleh Liashko and Anatoliy Hrytsenko: The soldier boys
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