№74: Out of the Comfort Zone: Russia and the Nuclear Deal with Iran
№74: Out of the Comfort Zone: Russia and the Nuclear Deal with Iran

Author(s): Patrycja Sasnal, Stanislav Secrieru
Subject(s): International Law, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Military policy, Geopolitics
Published by: PISM Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych
Keywords: Russian Federation; Iran; nuclear deal; s-300 missile; international nuclear deal; weapons market;
Summary/Abstract: Beyond the headline-making S-300 missile deal, the international nuclear agreement with Iran poses a multifaceted strategic dilemma for Russia. Iran’s potential de-isolation will necessitate a speeded-up rebranding of Russia and more policy acrobatics, among which reacting to the new dynamics in the energy market will be the most challenging. It is becoming imperative for Moscow not to close options in the Middle East: adopt softer stances, make obscure moves, and avoid camps, especially the Iran- Syria one. In the post-Soviet neighbourhood, Iran’s clout, powered by a probable cycle of economic growth, is likely to increase, pushing Russia to make adjustments as well. While preoccupied by softly limiting Iran’s influence, Russia might use the de-isolation of Iran to legitimise the Eurasian Economic Union, seal off the Caspian Sea from the West and keep the rising Chinese influence in Central Asia in check.

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