Предстоящата икономическа криза 2019-2020 г.
The forthcoming economic crisis 2019-2020

Author(s): Hristo Traykov
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Икономически университет - Варна
Keywords: global economic crisis; debt; interest rates; market discount function; cash/debt; P/E ratios
Summary/Abstract: This paper provides arguments for the forthcoming global economic crisis at the end of 2019. The potential of the crisis is due to the rise of the debt of households, companies and growing interest rates on one hand and the global oversupply of goods and services due to artificially maintained low interest rates and the monetary expansion on the other. In addition data about cash/debt ratios for USA and China economies as well P/E ratios for the main market indexes is provided.

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