Оценка на десетте най-важни риска пред развитието на България
Assessment of the Ten Most Important Risks to the Development of Bulgaria

Author(s): Yanko Hristozov, Borislav Borisov
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Economy, National Economy, Business Economy / Management, Sociology, Evaluation research, Social development, Economic development, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Университет за национално и световно стопанство (УНСС)
Keywords: risk management standards; risk management methodologies; risk assessment; national risks; strategic development
Summary/Abstract: Risk management is an integral part of development planning processes. For several years now, Zurich Insurance Group and Marsh McLennan have been publishing a Global Risks Report, which identifies the ten global risks facing the world for the next ten years. Along with global risks valid for the entire world, national risks, i.e. those that are specific to a given country, are also of great importance. For those in power, they are of the greatest importance, since they fall within the scope of their management impacts. In Bulgaria, a law was adopted in 2006 that obliges public sector organizations to manage the risks specific to them by developing risk management strategies, assessing inherent risks and planning anti-risk activities. Unfortunately, the identification of the main risks facing the state as a whole and their assessment is not regulated in the legislation, which is why there are no countries legally committed to managing risk at the national level. However, such opportunities exist in conducting focused scientific research on risks carried out by scientific organizations. The set of the study is precisely to identify and assess the specific risks to the development of Bulgaria for the next 10 years. It is based on scientific methodology, including expert assessments, Risk Assessment Matrix, statistical methods. The result of the study is classified for the inherent global risks to the development of Bulgaria for a ten-year period depending on the probability of its occurrence and the strength of the impact on it in achieving the goals set in the strategic development documents. Following the legislation, the adoption of legislative and management measures by the responsible state authorities to counteract the same strategic risks for the country.

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