СРБИЈА: РИЗИЦИ НАПУШТАЊА ПРОЕВРОПСКОГ КУРСА
SERBIA: RISKS OF ABANDONING THE PRO-EUROPEAN COURSE

Author(s): Marko Savković, Igor Novaković
Subject(s): Politics, Security and defense, Military policy, EU-Approach / EU-Accession / EU-Development, Geopolitics
Published by: Institut za strategijska istraživanja
Keywords: Republic of Serbia; European Union; NATO; foreign policy; neutrality; multipolarity
Summary/Abstract: International relations today are characterised by actual multipolarity, as well as heightened uncertainty. Long anticipated with the rise of China, real multipolarity denotes the existence of regional powers capable of challenging the current order and projecting power. This situation raises the question of the Republic of Serbia's foreign policy positioning in the context of the perception that there are different choices not necessarily culminating in EU membership. The Republic of Serbia lies at the intersection of several broader geopolitical zones. It is part of Southeastern Europe, which has turned towards Western integration. It is also part of the Balkans, where Turkey has a strong presence as a growing regional power. Moreover, it is located in the security "belt" that NATO defines as one of its priorities—"the area between the three seas: the Baltic, the Black Sea, and the Adriatic". Additionally, Serbia is part of the region in-tended for integration into the EU. Thus, it is a space where the interests of the EU, NATO, Russia, Turkey, and, in the last two decades, China—which views Serbia as one of the central points of its economic presence in Europe—intersect. Through the application of interview and scenario-building methods, this research aims to determine the risks associ-ated with the possible complete abandonment of Serbia’s pro-European foreign policy course in the near future; what kind of reality the citizens of Serbia—and society as a whole—would face in such a scenario; what the political and economic implications would be for Serbia’s partners and its neighbours in the Western Balkans.

• Details
• Contents