The Role of ICT Through Statistical Models in Enhancing Nuclear Security: A Case Study of Rwanda’s Border Points
The Role of ICT Through Statistical Models in Enhancing Nuclear Security: A Case Study of Rwanda’s Border Points

Author(s): Emmanuel Abenanye
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Politics, Economy, Business Economy / Management, Security and defense, ICT Information and Communications Technologies
Published by: Университет за национално и световно стопанство (УНСС)
Keywords: Bayesian Inference Models; emergency preparedness; RN Threats; Rwanda; nuclear security
Summary/Abstract: Nuclear security is a growing concern worldwide due to the increased risks posed by the proliferation of radiological and nuclear (RN) materials and the potential for their misuse. This paper examines the integration of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and statistical methodologies in bolstering nuclear security frameworks. Using Rwanda’s border security as a case study, it highlights how technological advancements and data analytics have enhanced the detection and prevention of unauthorized nuclear material transport. The findings emphasize the role of innovative technologies in securing borders and preventing nuclear trafficking. It uses Rwanda’s border points as a case study, where advanced detection technologies and probabilistic risk analysis have been employed to improve RN threat preparedness. The paper draws on the findings of my 2023 dissertation and supplementary literature to analyze the current capabilities and challenges at key points of entry. Recommendations are provided to bolster Rwanda’s nuclear security infrastructure through technological, analytical, and institutional improvements.

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