Politika Srbije u oblasti klimatskih promena i procena efekata na društvo
The Policy of Serbia in Response to Climate Change and Assessment of Effects on Society

Author(s): Mirjana Dokmanović
Subject(s): Politics / Political Sciences, Politics, Energy and Environmental Studies, Environmental and Energy policy
Published by: Институт друштвених наука
Keywords: climate change; energy transition; energy dependency; energy policy; Green Agenda
Summary/Abstract: In recent years the Republic of Serbia has made a certain progress in developing the legal and strategic framework in response to climate change. However, its effects on society has not been assessed so far. This article fills the gap. The first part of the article presents the ex-ante assessment of the planned public policies related to the energy sector and climate change. The second section presents the global and European context in which the international agreements related to climate changes have been shaped. The article concludes that the planned energy transition in Serbia will have more negative than positive effects on society due to the chosen model. Positive impacts are expected on adapting to local adverse weather conditions and removing the consequences from them, while the impact on the climate cannot be assessed. The policy options have the potential to negatively affect the living standards of citizens because the costs of the energy transition are planned to be transferred to consumers. The state’s energy dependence and indebtedness are also expected to increase as a result of huge investments in solar and wind power plants. Switching to these expensive energy sources will cause energy, food and other household costs to rise. The aim of the article is to emphasise the need for ex-ante assessment of the effects of regulatory and public policy options on society and to respect its findings when formulating final solutions. In addition, the paper stresses the need to understand the broader context in which Serbia’s energy transition is taking place. The key influence on the formation of international agreements in this area is held by the most powerful states and corporations, and therefore these agreements represent the interests of corporate globalism rather than the states of semi-periphery and periphery.

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