Identyfikacja atraktorów ataków terrorystycznych jako podstawa konstrukcji map zagrożeń w proaktywnym zwalczaniu terroryzmu
Identification of terrorist attacks attractors as the basis of the construction of a threat’s map in the proactive fighting against terrorism

Summary/Abstract: Appropriately early identification of objects or areas (attractors) that attract assassins’ attention in the process of creating the scenarios of preventive actions (counter terrorism planning), can minimize the risk level of certain events occurrence (for instance terrorist attack) to a considerable degree. The actions can be based on determining the probability of a certain event occurrence on account of the „threat potential” that characterizes the features appearing in a given space. The authors suggest the use of „threat’s matrix” as a useful tool to identify spatial threat’s attractors in the process of using the given probabilities. The matrices link geoinformation data that characterize given objects or areas with the values of given events occurrence probability ascribed to them. Additionally, the authors present the use of spatial aggregation methods as a proper tool to cartographic illustration of the results of anti crisis analyses, including the counter terrorist analyses.

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