Deterministic chaos theory and forecasting in Social Sciences. Contribution to the discussion Cover Image

Deterministic chaos theory and forecasting in Social Sciences. Contribution to the discussion
Deterministic chaos theory and forecasting in Social Sciences. Contribution to the discussion

Author(s): Łukasz Donaj
Subject(s): Politics, Political Theory, Sociology
Published by: Uniwersytet Adama Mickiewicza
Keywords: forecasting; social sciences; deterministic chaos theory; catastrophe theory; bifurcation

Summary/Abstract: Forecasting social phenomena may be hampered in many ways. This is because in nature of these phenomena lies strong and multilateral connection with other social phenomena; but not only - also physical and biological (natural) ones. The content of this publication constitutes presentation of chosen problems of forecasting in social sciences. The attention in the article was focused among others on deterministic chaos theory, on the attempt of its implementation to phenomena from the scope (or from borderline) of social sciences: economy, logistics, science about safety etc. Moreover, one of the threads of ponderation was the attempt to consider whether it’s possible to create so-called final theory. The aim of the publication is to signalize possibilities of taking advantage of seemingly exotic for “political scientists” methodology of modeling and explaining phenomena, having its source in exact sciences (in chaos theory) to study social phenomena and processes.

  • Issue Year: 2018
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 21-48
  • Page Count: 28
  • Language: English