Teoria Szarych Systemów A Prognozowanie W Naukach Społecznych. Przyczynek Do Dyskusji
The Use of Grey System Theory in Forecasting Social Phenomena. Selected Problems
Author(s): Łukasz DonajSubject(s): Government/Political systems, Methodology and research technology, Social Theory, Policy, planning, forecast and speculation
Published by: Uniwersytet Adama Mickiewicza
Keywords: Grey System Theory; fuzzy logic; political system; forecasting;
Summary/Abstract: The aim of the publication is to present selected forecasting problems in social sciences. The article focuses on the method of Grey Theory System. Particular attention is paid to the complexity of such systems as the political system, and consequently the shortcomings of traditional research methods such as system analysis. The purpose of the publication is to signal the use of such an exotic “methodology” for political science as grey-scale methodology and fuzzy modelling for forecasting political phenomena.
Journal: Przegląd Strategiczny
- Issue Year: VII/2017
- Issue No: 10
- Page Range: 43-52
- Page Count: 10
- Language: Polish