Проблема прогнозирования языкового и коммуникативного развития России в первой половине XXI века
The Problem of Forecasting Linguistic and Communicative Development of Russia in the First Half of the 21st Century

Summary/Abstract: The article is devoted to forecasting the linguistic and communicative development of Russia in the twenty-first century.Studies in the field of global trends in the development of communication and language, as well as the current trends in the communicative development of Russian society and the Russian language, allow us to note some stable changes that are likely to determine the trends in the development of Russian communication in the coming decades of this century.We consider global changes in communication, as well as specific changes in communication, determined by the specifics of Russia's development.These are such changes as the expansion of spheres of communication, the tendency to reduce communication with people by increasing the "communication" with the media, primarily electronic (TV, Internet), increasing the number of short-term, superficial speech contacts, expanding dialogical communication and reducing monologic communication, etc.Special Russian conditions that exert additional influence on the development of communication in Russia are the collectivist mentality of the Russian people, the desire not to stand out, the inability to imitate the models, the dislike of regulation. Thus, the processes of communicative globalization in Russia will meet a certain mental opposition, which can slow down this process.The future changes and development trends predicted by us we divide into three spheres: communicative changes, changes in language and social changes in the attitude towards the language, and we consider the changes predicted in each of these spheres.The discussed trends in the development of communication, both global and purely Russian, indicate that in the coming decades, such global processes as oralization of communication (the predominance of the oral form of communication over written communication) and its dialogization (dialogue will increasingly prevail over the monologue).

• Details
• Contents