Cyclical or anti-cyclical prices in Poland? Cover Image

Cykliczność czy antycykliczność cen w Polsce?
Cyclical or anti-cyclical prices in Poland?

Author(s): Piotr Misztal
Subject(s): National Economy
Published by: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu w Białymstoku
Keywords: cyclical prices; business cycle; consumer and producer prices

Summary/Abstract: The aim of the article is to analyze the interdependence between changes in consumer and producer prices and production in Poland in the period 1995-2015. In the study were used a research methods based on the study of literature in the field of macroeconomics and international finance as well as statistical and econometric methods. The results of the study suggest the absence of the phenomenon of cyclical consumer prices and the phenomenon of cyclical production prices in the short and long run. Research results have important theoretical and practical implications. In the traditional approach to the relationship between prices and production usually it assumes that the price level is pro-cyclical, which means an increase in prices in the conditions of increase in production and a decline in prices in the situation of a fall in production. However, the results of the study indicate that the accepted assumption about the cyclicality of prices is not always appropriate. The results of the analysis are also important from the monetary policy point of view, as the absence of cyclical consumer price requires from the central bank's different reaction in response to fluctuations in economic activity in the country.

  • Issue Year: 81/2016
  • Issue No: 3
  • Page Range: 45-59
  • Page Count: 14
  • Language: Polish