New Model of Evolution of Technologies and Prospects of Research With Using Big Data Cover Image

Новая модель эволюции технологий и перспективы исследований с применением Big Data
New Model of Evolution of Technologies and Prospects of Research With Using Big Data

Author(s): Sergey Krichevsky
Subject(s): Philosophy, Philosophy of Science
Published by: Международное философско-космологическое общество
Keywords: big data; global future; «green» development; model; forecast; singularity; technical picture of the world; technology; technological mode; evolution;

Summary/Abstract: In order to create the adequate technical picture of the world, we need the new comprehension, the new models of the evolution of technology and technosphere, and the new tools of perception, fixation and interpretation of the artefacts of the technical reality. A new interpretation of the notion «technological mode», which is the key in this article is suggested. The technological mode is the order of the existence and the activity of the society with the application of a number of mutually connected technologies, in the format of the socio-techno-natural system, in the interaction with the environment, with the coverage of socio-eco-economic aspects. A new model of the evolution of technologies in the global paradigm of the global future and «green» development has been developed. The model shows: 1) the accelerated growth and the estimation of the total number of technologies; 2) 1st — 7th technological modes (including the promising «green») as the rising levels of the integral technological way, inscribed in the Snooks-Panov’s hyperbolic curve, which reflects the process of evolution on the Earth with a singularity ~ in 2045 (forecast); 3) before-singular as well as post-singular migration options and global future; 4) a hypothetical post-singular 8th technological mode. As a new tool, it is proposed to use Big Data for the research of the nonlinear global process of evolution of technologies, technological modes, and the technosphere for the purpose of the analysis, forecast and management. The idea and the foundations of the concept of a new international mega-project «Big data for research of the evolution of technologies» are also stated.

  • Issue Year: 17/2016
  • Issue No: 17
  • Page Range: 118-135
  • Page Count: 18
  • Language: Russian