Bosnia in the Third Decade of this Century – Fifteen Scenarios of Outcome – Cover Image

Босна у трећој деценији овог вијека - петнаест сценарија расплета –
Bosnia in the Third Decade of this Century – Fifteen Scenarios of Outcome –

Author(s): Nenad Kecmanović
Subject(s): Government/Political systems, Policy, planning, forecast and speculation, Inter-Ethnic Relations, EU-Accession / EU-DEvelopment
Published by: Институт за политичке студије
Keywords: the future of Bosnia and Herzegovina; Bosnians; Serbs; Croats; Republika Srpska; integrations; crawling decay; centralization; USA; Russia; Turkey; EU; NATO; Kosovo and Metohija; actors; leaders; fore

Summary/Abstract: Signatures of the highest representatives of the three constituent peoples on the Dayton Treaty were challenged internally and externally, and they are the main source of permanent instability even today. The instability generates uncertainty, which inspires speculation of so called ordinary people and scientific analyzes and prognoses of what would Bosnia and Herzegovina looks like in recent future or whether it will exist at all. The author in his paper analyzes fifteen alternative scenarios about the future of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the end of next decade.

  • Issue Year: 2012
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 401-420
  • Page Count: 20
  • Language: Serbian