An integrated two-stage methodology for optimising the accuracy of performance classification models Cover Image

An integrated two-stage methodology for optimising the accuracy of performance classification models
An integrated two-stage methodology for optimising the accuracy of performance classification models

Author(s): Adrian Costea, Massimiliano Ferrara, Florentin Şerban
Subject(s): Micro-Economics, Financial Markets
Published by: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Keywords: knowledge-based systems; uncertainty modelling; applications of fuzzy sets; classification; artificial intelligence; performance evaluation; non-banking financial institutions;

Summary/Abstract: In this paper we propose a two-stage methodology to classify the non-banking financial institutions (NFIs) based on their financial performance. The first stage of the methodology consists of grouping the companies in similar financial performance classes (e.g.: “good”, “average”, “poor” performance classes). We optimise the allocation of the observations within the performance clusters by applying an enhanced version of an observation re-allocation procedure proposed in our previous work. Next, based on the result of the grouping phase, we construct a performance class variable by attaching a performance label to each data row. Then, in the second phase of our methodology, we propose a feed-forward neural-network classification model that maps the input space to the newly-constructed performance class variable. This model allows us to forecast the performance of new companies as data become available.

  • Issue Year: 23/2017
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 111-139
  • Page Count: 29
  • Language: English