Business cycle – growth nexus: a review Cover Image

Business cycle – growth nexus: a review
Business cycle – growth nexus: a review

Author(s): Marinko Škare, Daniel Tomić
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Keywords: business cycle; growth; short/long run relationship; cycle synchronization; decoupling; F44; E30; E32; E37;

Summary/Abstract: Frequent reversals in business cycles pose the question whether country can achieve macroeconomic stability and/or economic growth by coordinating its economic policies. Thus, what is the role of economic policy within the short/long run in amplifying or dampening shocks? Business cycle – economic growth relationship is rather ambiguous and has, thus, attracted controversy. In this sense the (dis)belief that there indeed exists a relationship between the economic growth and business cycle, and their long-run convergence brings us to three important hypotheses that: (1) the evaluation of cycle-growth bond is inconclusive, (2) empirical testing of cycle synchronization is exaggerated and (3) the hypothesis of coupling/decoupling is ambiguous and can be misleading. Economic growth is a complex process and cannot be attributed to a single factor of observance hence this essay is just a tool of theoretical reasoning with firm grip on empirical circumstances that lead us to consider some issues that dwell the “growth economists” these days. Our study suggests a conclusion that discussions on the cycle-growth nexus are far from over, revealing us some remarkable confrontations within empirical domain.

  • Issue Year: 21/2015
  • Issue No: 3
  • Page Range: 519-538
  • Page Count: 20
  • Language: English