What to expect from the next NATO Summit in the Hague, in light of the new American foreign policy?
What to expect from the next NATO Summit in the Hague, in light of the new American foreign policy?

Summary/Abstract: The article explores what potential announcements and decisions might be issued and taken at the NATO Summit in the Hague, that might impact two important topics: deterrence and defence and support to Ukraine. Although the decisions that will be adopted at the level of heads of state and government are usually well discussed and agreed in principle in advance, the Summit in the Hague might be an atypical one, with lots of uncertainties derived from the latest declarations trumpeted in various fora by the new American administration, which indicate a slow but steady disengagement of the US from the security of the European continent. The article highlights the European allies’ acknowledgement to invest more for their own defence and perhaps prepare for a potential gradual disengagement of the US from the European security both in terms of its presence on the ground and the employment of its strategic capabilities. It also indicates the capability gaps the European allies should quickly address and how this inflection point could transform in an opportunity to revive the idea of European strategic autonomy. The article will also emphasize that support from Ukraine will continue to be a central issue on NATO’s agenda but with less American involvement.

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