In defence of the so–called pragmatic arguments for probabilism Cover Image

W obronie tak zwanych „pragmatycznych” uzasadnień probabilizmu
In defence of the so–called pragmatic arguments for probabilism

Author(s): Patryk Dziurosz-Serafinowicz
Subject(s): Philosophy
Published by: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Kardynała Stefana Wyszyńskiego w Warszawie
Keywords: probabilism; theory of probability; Dutch book; representation theorem; degrees of belief; Finetti B. de; Ramsey F.P.; Christensen D.; Maher P.; Zynda L.

Summary/Abstract: The aim of this article is to defend the so-called “pragmatic” arguments for probabilism, i.e., a thesis which holds that a rational agent’s degrees of belief should be modeled by the theory of probability. Two such arguments are analyzed: Dutch-Book Argument (DBA) and Representation Theorem Argument (RTA). Both of these arguments encounter a number of problems that seriously undermine their value, and thus probabilism (operationalism, a forced bet, etc.) The article shows that amongst the various interpretations of DBA and RTA we can find those that are able to resolve the main difficulties that beset those arguments.

  • Issue Year: 49/2013
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 49-78
  • Page Count: 30
  • Language: Polish