Relevanţa produsului de intelligence în contextul ameninţărilor asimetrice si hibride
The relevance of the intelligence product in the context of asymmetric and hybrid threats

Summary/Abstract: Given the complex and nuanced nature of asymmetric and hybrid threats on the international security agenda, intelligence products derived from the information cycle in the broad field of security-through their role in early war­ning-emerge as a strategic resource aimed at preventing surprise. The challenge of providing effective early warning is becoming increasingly difficult, as predictive analysis is inhe­ rently complex, due to the dynamic shifts in the security environment. However, from a defense standpoint, early war­ ning offers improved conditions for the effective management of threats through timely, progressive countermeasures. These measures, tailored to the specific context, aim to mitigate the potential for a crisis to escalate into a conflict with far-reaching and uncontrollable implications. Considering the broad spectrum of asymmetric and hybrid threats, it becomes imperative to address such aggres­ sion in an expanded societal framework. This approach involves raising awareness of these dangers and their con­ sequences beyond institutional levels, reaching civil society and the general public. In this sense, the civilian popula­ tion becomes a vital component of the early warning system, designed to defuse hybrid actions. Consequently, societal resilience emerges as both, a goal and a foundation for credible defense and deterrence, serving as a critical pillar in the broader effort to reduce vulnerabilities and counter asymmetric and hybrid threats and their associated risks.

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