Az erdélyi magyarok demográfiai változásainak három évtizede: fókuszban a természetes népmozgalom és az elöregedés
Three Decades of Demographic Change of Hungarians in Transylvania: Focus on Natural Increase and Ageing

Summary/Abstract: This paper focuses on the demographic analysis of the fertility, natural increase, population dynamics and ageing of Hungarians in Transylvania/Romania. The analysis covers regional variations and the evolution over time of urban-rural differences over the last three decades, from 1990/1992 to 2022. In addition to a complex analysis of the natality and mortality phenomena, the changing age composition and ageing, as well as the decline in population numbers, are some of the consequences. The study also attempts to answer the question whether the crises are associated with fertility decline in Romania, in relation to the European value system effects in the sense of the second demographic transition theory. From a methodological point of view, the analysis is based on demographic macro data, using the 1992 and 2021 censuses and the annual population movement data reported by the INS.

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