NATO la 70 de ani de existență: cât de necesar ar fi un nou concept strategic și cum ar trebui regândită descurajarea în actualul context internațional?
NATO at 70 years of existence: how necessary is a new strategic concept and how should discouragement be discouraged in the current international context?

Summary/Abstract: NATO will be 70 years old in 2019 in April 2019 and it is the most durable alliance in modern times (the period after WW1), also the strongest one in history (due to the western scientific-technological progress and the USA’s military primacy after the Cold War). It is a defensive organization based on mutual consensus among the allies, and it relies on a healthy combination of deterrence and defence to prevent any aggression by a third state or a coalition of hostile actors. There are expert voices claiming the need for a new Strategic Concept to upgrade the 2010 S.C. from Lisbon. The main reasons are the emergence of Russian Federation as a very aggressive revisionist power who modified by force the borders in Eastern Europe, against the national interests of two NATO’s partners (Georgia and Ukraine) and now is heavily arming and puts a strong pressure on NATO’s eastern flank, and the instability on the Southern flank, generated by the effects of the Arab Spring (instability, ethnic-religious conflicts leading to some civil wars, emergence of Islamic State and other Jihadist groups). NATO will survive and remain strong only if the US and its European allies stay coherent and solidary, if they trust each other and accommodate their strategic interests. Deterrence by denial is more feasible and credible than deterrence by punishment to keep Russia and China from any attempt to coalesce against the Euro-Atlantic main interests. A strategic concept would be necessary only if member states get more coherent and united in their visions and interests regarding the common risks and threats – but unfortunetaely this is not the case for the time being.

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