PREDICTION OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS: CASE OF MINING ENTERPRISES IN CZECH REPUBLIC
PREDICTION OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS: CASE OF MINING ENTERPRISES IN CZECH REPUBLIC

Summary/Abstract: The ability to predict a company's financial health is a challenge for many researchers and scientists. It is also a distracting topic, as many other new approaches to financial health predictions have emerged in recent years. In this paper, we focused on identifying the financial health of mining companies in the Czech Republic. We chose the neural network method because, based on various instances of related research, neural networks represent a more reliable financial forecast than mathematical-statistical methods such as discriminant analysis and logistic regression. The concept of a neural network emerged with the first artificial neural networks, inspired by biological systems. The existence of prediction and classification problems directly predetermines artificial neural networks with respect to a given issue. We used the Amadeus database for processing, including financial indicators, SPSS, and Visual Gene Developer software. In total, we analyzed sixty-four mining companies. Complete data on financial stability were available for fifty-three companies, which we explored, and based on these results, identified financial situations for the other thirteen. Based on the available information, we processed a neural network and regression analysis. We managed to classify thirteen companies as solvent, insolvent, and in the grey zone, with the help of prediction.

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