2003-2024 Dönemi Türkiye Kamu Mali Performansının Çok Kriterli Karar Verme (ÇKKV) Yöntemleri ile Değerlendirilmesi
Evaluation of Türkiye's Public Fiscal Performance During the 2003 - 2024 Period Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) Methods

Summary/Abstract: This study aims to rank and evaluate Türkiye's public fiscal performance for the period 2003-2024 by employing the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods, Entropy and WASPAS. First, the objective weights of the criteria were determined using the Entropy method. The criteria include public expenditures and revenues as a share of GDP, tax revenue elasticity, the ratio of central government revenues to expenditures, the ratios of EU-defined public debt stock and Public Sector Borrowing Requirement (PSBR) to GDP, the tax burden, tax collection and accrual rates, and the GDP growth rate. The findings reveal that the most influential determinants of public fiscal performance are tax revenue elasticity, PSBR, and the economic growth rate. Their high weights indicate the dynamic structure of fiscal performance. Adapting to the economic cycles, controlling the PSBR, and sustaining economic growth are crucial for public fiscal performance. MCDM WASPAS scores indicate that Türkiye's average performance was highest in 2003-2007, peaking in 2006. Türkiye's public fiscal performance fluctuated after the 2008 global financial crisis, remained relatively stable but lower during 2013-2017, and declined further post-2018.

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