Information Systems in the Analysis of Ideological Terrorism: Modelling the Interaction between Attacks, Arrests, and Convictions in Europe (2017-2022)
Information Systems in the Analysis of Ideological Terrorism: Modelling the Interaction between Attacks, Arrests, and Convictions in Europe (2017-2022)

Summary/Abstract: and bloody campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Arab Spring and continuing with the civil wars in Syria, Libya and Yemen, have produced changes in the contemporary European security environment. The article examines the relations between terrorist attacks, arrests and convictions in Europe, in the period 2017-2022, with an emphasis on the ideological dimension of the phenomenon. The study extends previous research on information architectures by integrating linear regression models, predictive distributions, and visualizations. The results point to a decreasing trend in judicial activity, a moderate correlation between arrests and convictions, and a high variability in nationalist and far-right attacks. Information systems are proving to be essential strategic tools in the formulation of public policies, providing predictive capacity and support in ideological differentiation of interventions. The paper makes recommendations for recalibration of judicial interventions and optimization of decisions through analytical integration in adaptive information infrastructures.

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