Tíz év után: a felsőoktatási expanzió helyzete és kilátásai
Ten years after: The state and prospects of higher education expansion

Summary/Abstract: In 2014, regarding the expansion of higher education, the authors asked whether it would continue and, if so, how. Monitoring the fulfilment of their predictions in 2024, the authors found that a) the social demand for higher education, despite stagnant phases, has continued to grow over the past decade; the emergence of new institutional structures can only be demonstrated by qualitative analysis; b) the unfolding of the ‘fourth degree’ cannot be shown by educational statistics; it is necessary to include statistics of vocational education and adult learning; c) new paths of post-secondary education can be inferred from alternative forms of traditional higher education (evening, correspondence, distance learning). The authors perceived the demand for higher education as a social innovation, the driving force of which is middle-class development. The aspiration to become middle class explains why the demand for higher education is growing even in a demographic wave through.

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