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What Drives Price Dispersion in the European E-commerce Industry?

What Drives Price Dispersion in the European E-commerce Industry?

Author(s): Kristóf Gyódi,Maciej Sobolewski,Michał Ziembiński / Language(s): English Issue: 50/2017

An important aspect of economic integration of the European Union is price convergence on digital single market. In this study, we propose a novel way to measure price dispersion in the e-commerce industry, using a custom made web-scraping tool. We target all the major price comparisons sites in the 26 EU member states, which enables us to collect price signals from thousands of retail shops operating on-line. We analyse pricing data of 182 branded products sold on-line across the EU, representing the most popular categories: fashion, consumer electronics, gaming and software, and cosmetics. We find considerable dispersion of both pre and post-vat on-line prices ranging from 20% to 40%, depending on the product category. The observed on-line price dispersion is driven by both cost factors and the level of per capita income, which is consistent with the view that producers or large distributors might engage in strategic price discrimination induced by income heterogeneity. At first look, our results point to the unexplored potential for cross-border trade, which could be released by policy interventions with regards to delivery, payment or law harmonization. However, under strategic price discrimination, reduced costs of arbitrage for consumers might induce discriminating firms to lower the magnitude of price dispersion between high and low income countries, bringing adverse welfare changes of a priori unknown net effect.

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Failure prediction of government funded start-up firms

Failure prediction of government funded start-up firms

Author(s): Oliver Lukason,Kaspar Käsper / Language(s): English Issue: 2.2/2017

This study aims to create a prediction model that would forecast the bankruptcy of government funded start-up firms (GFSUs). Also, the financial development patterns of GFSUs are outlined. The dataset consists of 417 Estonian GFSUs, of which 75 have bankrupted before becoming five years old and 312 have survived for five years. Six financial ratios have been calculated for one (t+1) and two (t+2) years after firms have become active. Weighted logistic regression analysis is applied to create the bankruptcy prediction models and consecutive factor and cluster analyses are applied to outline the financial patterns. Bankruptcy prediction models obtain average classification accuracies, namely 63.8% for t+1 and 67.8% for t+2. The bankrupt firms are distinguished with a higher accuracy than the survived firms, with liquidity and equity ratios being the useful predictors of bankruptcy. Five financial patterns are detected for GFSUs, but bankrupt GFSUs do not follow any distinct patterns that would be characteristic only to them.

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Forecasting the level of earnings management of Russian and Chinese companies

Forecasting the level of earnings management of Russian and Chinese companies

Author(s): Anna Loukianova,Egor Nikulin,Andrey Zinchenko / Language(s): English Issue: 2.1/2017

The purpose of the current paper is to elaborate a model to forecast a particular type of earnings management by companies: upward earnings management, downward earnings management or the absence of significant manipulation. The sample analyzed in the current paper comprises 664 Russian and 2,380 Chinese public companies for the period 2009–2014. The forecast was made for 2014 based on annual accounting data for 2009–2013. Regression analysis, as well as Classification and Regression Tree modelling (CART), were used. The data forecast for 2014 was compared with actual data for that year, and the accuracy of the forecasting model was assessed. The paper outlines the main conditions under which a particular type of earnings manipulation is expected to take place in a company in the accounting period following the current one. It is shown that the main factor influencing the company’s level of earnings manipulation of the next accounting period for both Russian and Chinese companies is the debt ratio calculated as the ratio of total liabilities to total assets. The other important factors are: the company size, return on equity, earnings persistence, the level of earnings manipulation in the current period and stock emission.

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The use of neural networks to determine value based drivers for SMEs operating in the rural areas of the Czech Republic

The use of neural networks to determine value based drivers for SMEs operating in the rural areas of the Czech Republic

Author(s): Jaromir Vrbka / Language(s): English Issue: 2/2020

Research background: In the past, the main objective of a company was to generate sufficient profit. Nowadays, a company must seek to achieve much broader objectives. To be successful in this pursuit, it must not only measure financial performance, but also monitor internal and external developments, increase shareholders’ wealth and protect the interests of other stakeholders, i.e. to analyze and act on those factors that affect company value. Purpose of the article: The objective of the contribution is to determine through the use of artificial neural networks the relationship between business value drivers, or value based drivers (VBD), and EVA Equity, which is economic value added (EVA), of small and medium-sized enterprises operating in the rural areas of the Czech Republic. Methods: The data was obtained from the Bisnode´s Albertina database. The data set consists of the profit and loss accounts for 2013 to 2017 of small and medium-sized enterprises operating in rural areas of the Czech Republic. Two scenarios are analyzed. In the first, the independent variables are only the value drivers, whereas in the second, company location (region) is included. The objective is to find the dependence of EVA Equity on individual VBD and company location. A sensitivity analysis is conducted, on the basis of which the importance of individual value drivers and company location is determined. Findings & Value added: The output is a set of value drivers, which could be used by company managers to regulate the growth of EVA Equity, i.e. value for shareholders. The findings reveal that the difference between successful and unsuccessful companies is determined by the level of involvement of human capital; companies use a large number of substitutes for factors of production, whereby the involvement of borrowed capital is likely to cause a positive financial leverage effect.

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Study of legislative and administrative obstacles to SMEs business in the Czech Republic and Slovakia

Study of legislative and administrative obstacles to SMEs business in the Czech Republic and Slovakia

Author(s): Beata Gavurova,Jaroslav Belas,Yuriy Bilan,Jakub Horák / Language(s): English Issue: 4/2020

Research background: SMEs represent an integral part of the economy environment in a majority of the countries all over the world. They signify the most efficient, progressive, and important part of the advanced economies. The long-term effort of the EU countries, as well as other advanced economies is to create quality and stable conditions for their development in order to be able to respond to all the possible changes in the business environment that is being changed to more and more comprehensive in the recent time. Purpose of the article: The objective of the contribution is to examine administrative and legislative obstacles to SMEs business in the Czech Republic and Slovakia and the quantification of the differences in perceiving legislative and administrative obstacles to business by entrepreneurs in both countries. Methods: A questionnaire survey was conducted within SMEs in the Czech Republic and Slovakia in 2019. The research sample included 641 SMEs, 312 from the Czech Republic and 329 from Slovakia. We focused on 5 dimensions related to legislative and administrative obstacles to SMEs business within which selected statements were examined. Contingency tables were used to analyze the ratios of the examined variables. Findings & Value added: The differences detected in both countries in the respondents´ perception and assessment are evidence of the changes in the business environment of both countries, giving rise to the questions about the extent to which the legislative and administrative obstacles, as well as the obstacles related to law enforcement and bureaucracy are acceptable and by which groups of entrepreneurs. The results of the research provide valuable findings for the creators of regional and national policies, and represent a valuable basis for the creation of the concepts focused on the SMEs´ development in both countries.

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Consumers Engagement Toward Food Brands – The Case of Dairy Products

Consumers Engagement Toward Food Brands – The Case of Dairy Products

Author(s): Michał Gazdecki,Elżbieta Goryńska-Goldmann / Language(s): English Issue: 2/2020

Research background: As food markets continue to develop the role and position of food consumers evolve as well. Food producers redefine their market strategies and focus on creating loyalty, building good contacts and consumers’ engagement towards brands. Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to analyze the engagement of consumers towards selected food brands in the category of dairy desserts. Research methodology: The paper was prepared and based on the data collected in the survey among 200 respondents. The research subjects were consumers who declared the consumption of milk based desserts and the object of analyses was consumers’ brand engagement considered at the behavioral level. Results: Consumers with the opportunity to interact with a brand increase their propensity to recommend, which is a necessary condition for creating a reference market. As for the smaller companies, gaining sales growth through distribution and promotional activities may be difficult due to budget constraints, actions aimed at creating a reference market may be more effective. Novelty: Although the issue of consumer engagement is an important area of scientific work, there is less interest in this field in the context of food markets. This paper provides additional knowledge about the context of food market products, which should be continued in further research. Based on our results, marketing strategies, mainly for a SME’s, can be developed.

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The Functioning of Urban Hotels in the Natural Environment

The Functioning of Urban Hotels in the Natural Environment

Author(s): Daniel Puciato / Language(s): English Issue: 2/2020

Research background: There are numerous interactions between the natural environment and a hotel company. On the one hand, the natural environment affects the hotel; on the other hand, the hotel has a significant impact on the environment. Dynamic changes in the natural environment and their effects on the functioning of hotels make it important to assess the strength and directions and to identify the conditions and consequences of these mutual interactions. Purpose: The paper aims to assess interactions taking place between the natural environment and hotels located in Wroclaw, Poland. Research methodology: The main research method was a diagnostic questionnaire survey. The study was carried out 2017 among the owners or managers of 24 hotels from Wrocław. Chi-squared tests were conducted and Cramer’s V measures of association were calculated. The level of statistical significance was set at ex ante α = 0.05. Results: In the opinion of the highest percentage of respondents, interactions between the natural environment and Wroclaw hotels are of low strength and are neutral. The hotel type was associated with the strength of the environmental impact on the hotel. In the Wrocław hotels that were researched there were significant correlations between the strength of the hotel’s impact on the natural environment, hotel specific location, and quality standard (hotel rating). Novelty: Potential correlations between the strength and directions of interactions between hotels, as well as between the natural environment and organizational and functional characteristics of urban hotels have not been researched before.

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The Dynamics of Foreign Aid Trends and Patterns among Low- Income Countries in Africa

The Dynamics of Foreign Aid Trends and Patterns among Low- Income Countries in Africa

Author(s): Mamo Tefera,Nicholaus M. Odhiambo / Language(s): English Issue: 2/2020

Research background: Foreign aid flows to Africa mostly the Low-Income Countries (LICs) have increased drastically since 2000. Increasing aid flows are expected to stimulate economic growth that can release resources towards enabling LICs to reduce aid dependency. Purpose: The purpose of this study is to discuss the dynamics of bilateral aid trends and patterns among 27 LICs in Africa during 2000–2017. The main question this study tries to answer is: how have aid sources, compositions and dependency changed in LICs? Research methodology: The study employs a descriptive analysis technique to analyses bilateral aid flows to LICs in Africa from 50 donors during 2000–2017. Results: Total net aid flows to LICs increased by 1.5 times during 2000–2017 and were predominantly in the form of grants (92.7%). The study found a shift of sectoral aid allocations from the economic and productive sectors towards the social sector. Net aid as a share of GDP increased almost two-fold; implying an increasing trend of aid dependency in several LICs. Novelty: This study tries to present a full account of bilateral aid flows both from Traditional Donors (TDs) and Non-Traditional Donors (NTDs), unlike many earlier studies that have focused on TDs.

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A Comparative Analysis of Men and Women’s Hourly Earnings in Poland with Particular Emphasis on the Education Sector

A Comparative Analysis of Men and Women’s Hourly Earnings in Poland with Particular Emphasis on the Education Sector

Author(s): Joanna Małgorzata Landmesser,Marian Rusek,Olga Zajkowska / Language(s): English Issue: 1/2021

Research background: There is the lack of a sector based analysis of wages for different genders. We present such an analysis regarding the education sector in Poland. Purpose: The study aims to compare hourly earnings for men and women in Poland, with particular emphasis on the education sector. We go beyond the simple Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition and compare earnings distributions. Research methodology: First, we examine the hourly earnings inequalities using the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition procedure. Second, we extend this procedure to different quantile points along the whole earnings distribution by the use of the residual imputation approach. The results are obtained for the whole sample (people of all professions), for a group of teaching professionals, and for university and higher education teachers. Results: The magnitude of the gender hourly wage gap varies substantially depending on how the sample of interest is defined. It also heavily depends on the quantile of the analyzed distribution. Although the average gap in the educational sector is negative, the differences turn positive and increase with higher quantiles of distribution in favor of men. The disparity was most pronounced for university top professionals. Novelty: Our results provide novel insights into the sectoral dimension of the income gap. We analyze inequalities over whole distribution in the educational sector and compare them with wage inequalities in enterprises employing more than 9 people.

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Uticaj kreativnog računovodstva na kvalitet finansijskog izvještavanja: empirijsko istraživanje u Republici Srpskoj

Uticaj kreativnog računovodstva na kvalitet finansijskog izvještavanja: empirijsko istraživanje u Republici Srpskoj

Author(s): Siniša Rajković / Language(s): English,Serbian Issue: 3/2021

he growing number of frauds and financial scandals in the last few decades has justified the skepticism and fear of external users regarding the credibility of the financial statements presented by the reporting entities. Numerous financial scandals and frauds (Enron, WorldCom, Parmalat and many others) have dealt a heavy blow to the accounting and auditing profession and shaken the confidence of interested users in financial statements. Empirical research was conducted on a sample of 400 reporting entities in the Republic of Srpska for the period 2016-2019 with the aim of examining the impact of creative accounting on the quality of financial reporting. The constructed model of logistic regression indicates that the predictive influence of discretionary accruals on the auditor’s opinion is statistically significant for the significance level of 0.1. The strength and direction of the correlation between the dependent (quality of financial reporting) and independent variable (creative accounting) was examined using the Pearson coefficient, which indicated the existence of a negative correlation between DACC values and audit opinion and that this correlation was statistically significant (rpb = – .042, n = 1600, p = .088). This means that as the value of the DACC increases (as a measure of creative accounting), the likelihood that the auditor’s opinion has a qualification (modification) also increases. The results of the Omnibus test show that in the group of companies audited by one of the audit firms of the “big four”, discretionary accruals statistically significantly affect the auditor’s decision for the significance level of 0.1 ((χ = 5.007, p = 0.072 which is less than 0.1 On the other hand, the results show that in the group of companies whose financial statements were audited by audit firms outside the “big four”, discretionary accruals have a statistically insignificant effect on the auditor’s final decision for significance level 0.1 (χ = 0.036, p = 0.849 which is greater than 0.1).

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Komparativnost preduzeća u funkciji primene metoda EBITDA multiplikatora za vrednovanje preduzeća

Komparativnost preduzeća u funkciji primene metoda EBITDA multiplikatora za vrednovanje preduzeća

Author(s): Dušan Saković / Language(s): English,Serbian Issue: 3/2021

The paper investigates the success of estimating the value of enterprises using EV/EBITDA multiplier model in order to assess the degree of comparability of enterprises operating within the same industry, ie having the same activity code. The criterion for assessing the quality of the estimated value of each model, as well as multiplier model, is the relative error of the assessment, which represents the deviation of the determined value of the model from the actual market value. The main characteristic of the EV/ EBITDA multiplier model is that the determination of the value of the target company is based on values comparable to it. The fact that the relative error of the assessment is smaller, means that there is a higher degree of comparability between the companies used in the valuation process. The research was conducted on a sample of companies operating within the telecommunications industry. The results of the research indicate that when it comes to the European market, we can conclude that there is no high degree of comparability between companies that operate under the same code of activity.

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Učestalost finansijskog izvještavanja u Bosni i Hercegovini i usklađenost sa Međunarodnim računovodstvenim standardom 34

Učestalost finansijskog izvještavanja u Bosni i Hercegovini i usklađenost sa Međunarodnim računovodstvenim standardom 34

Author(s): Bobana Čegar / Language(s): English,Serbian Issue: 1/2021

The financial reporting frequency is a topic around which there are significant, conflicting opinions of the scientific and professional public, especially when it comes to the analysis of the need for the introduction of quarterly financial reporting. More frequent reporting can have positive effects on the capital market, which are reflected in the reduction of information asymmetry and costs of capital, but at the same time, it can also lead to managerial myopia. Since more frequent reporting does not always mean better reporting, it is important that the requirements of professional regulations are complied with when compiling and publishing interim financial statements. For this reason, we analyzed the compliance of the semi-annual financial statements of listed companies in Bosnia and Herzegovina with the requirements of IAS 34 and came to the conclusion that there are significant deviations, despite the legal obligation to apply IAS/IFRS in financial reporting.

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Bankruptcy prediction of small- and medium-sized enterprises in Poland based on the LDA and SVM methods

Bankruptcy prediction of small- and medium-sized enterprises in Poland based on the LDA and SVM methods

Author(s): Aneta Ptak-Chmielewska / Language(s): English Issue: 1/2021

The impact the last financial crisis had on the small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) sector varied across countries, affecting them on different levels and to a different extent. The economic situation in Poland during and after the financial crisis was quite stable compared to other EU member states. SMEs represent one of the most important segments of the economy of every country. Therefore, it is crucial to develop a prediction model which easily adapts to the characteristics of SMEs. Since the Altman Z-Score model was devised, numerous studies on bankruptcy prediction have been written. Most of them involve the application of traditional methods, including linear discriminant analysis (LDA), logistic regression and probit analysis. However, most recent studies in the area of bankruptcy prediction focus on more advanced methods, such as case-based reasoning, genetic algorithms and neural networks. In this paper, the effectiveness of LDA and SVM predictions were compared. A sample of SMEs was used in the empirical analysis, financial ratios were utilised and non-financial factors were taken account of. The hypothesis assuming that multidimensional discrimination was more effective was verified on the basis of the obtained results.

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Trade potential under the SAFTA between India and other SAARC countries: the augmented gravity model approach

Trade potential under the SAFTA between India and other SAARC countries: the augmented gravity model approach

Author(s): Vipin Sharma,Vinod Kumar / Language(s): English Issue: 3/2021

The study attempts to analyse India’s trade potential with other SAARC member states under the SAFTA agreement by means of the augmented gravity model, at annual frequency from 1992 to 2019 in general and from 2004 to 2019 in particular. The findings of this paper prove that the intra-regional trade volumes between SAARC countries can be increased and encouraged. Moreover, the research shows that it is important to introduce structural reforms aiming to boost trade with non-member states. It would be advisable for researchers to take into account the effect locational and infrastructural advantages have on transport costs through the application of a gravity model. Previous research has also demonstrated that the augmented gravity model may prove helpful in explaining some key features of South Asian trade, which traditional gravity models fail to do.

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On the improvement of paired ranked set sampling to estimate population mean

On the improvement of paired ranked set sampling to estimate population mean

Author(s): Syed Abdul Rehman,Javid Shabbir / Language(s): English Issue: 3/2021

In ecological and environmental sampling the quantification of units is either difficult or overly demanding in terms of the time, money, workload, it requires. For this reason efficient and cost-effective sampling methods need to be devised for data collecting. The most commonly used method for this purpose is the Ranked Set Sampling (RSS). In this paper, a sampling scheme called Improved Paired Ranked Set Sampling (IPRSS) is proposed to estimate the population mean. The performance of the proposed IPRSS is evaluated under perfect and imperfect rankings. A simulation study based on selected hypothetical distributions and a real-life data set showed that IPRSS is more precise than RSS, Paired RSS (PRSS) or Extreme RSS (ERSS).

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ПРИМЕРИ ЗА ФИНАНСОВО – МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКИ МОДЕЛИ, ПОЛЗВАНИ В ПРАКТИКАТА

ПРИМЕРИ ЗА ФИНАНСОВО – МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКИ МОДЕЛИ, ПОЛЗВАНИ В ПРАКТИКАТА

Author(s): Orlin Kolev / Language(s): Bulgarian Issue: 4/2021

This publication aims to present examples of financial - mathematical models. With the development of financial engineering, the sector faces a number of challenges seeking its own operational solution. The administration and processing of large arrays of personal and financial information are an example of some of the tasks seeking their logical solution. Financial - mathematical models aim to control and prevention at intromission of personal and / or financial information. The Fintech sector is largely based and works with –such kind of models. The article discusses three examples enforced and used in the practice.

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ВЪВЕЖДАНЕТО НА ТАКСА ТЕЛЕВИЗИЯ КАТО ФАКТОР ЗА ПОДОБРЯВАНЕ НА УПРАВЛЕНИЕТО НА НАЦИОНАЛНАТА ТЕЛЕВИЗИЯ НА РЕПУБЛИКА БЪЛГАРИЯ

ВЪВЕЖДАНЕТО НА ТАКСА ТЕЛЕВИЗИЯ КАТО ФАКТОР ЗА ПОДОБРЯВАНЕ НА УПРАВЛЕНИЕТО НА НАЦИОНАЛНАТА ТЕЛЕВИЗИЯ НА РЕПУБЛИКА БЪЛГАРИЯ

Author(s): Ivan Penkov,Dimitar Kolev / Language(s): Bulgarian Issue: 4/2021

The article analyze some options for the aforementioned license implementation in the Republic of Bulgaria. Based on that an annual amount and a facilitation of the TV license has been proposed. Two possible scenarios for the future funding of the national TV of Bulgaria been drawn. In the first one, the government directs license income towards forming an independent national TV budget and in the second they keep the current funding and add the TV license to it. The outcomes for its management and the common citizens of the country have been analyzed in both scenarios. A discussion about the benefits for the national TV management has been done.

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Analiza posebnosti instituta samostalne bankarske garancije kroz tumačenje relevantnih domaćih propisa

Analiza posebnosti instituta samostalne bankarske garancije kroz tumačenje relevantnih domaćih propisa

Author(s): Stefan Blagojević / Language(s): English,Serbian Issue: 4/2020

An independent bank guarantee or, as it is known in our Law of Contracts and Torts, a guarantee “without objection” or “at the first call” is a special form of bank guarantee that is widely used in the international exchange of goods. There are several explanations for such widespread use in international transactions, but among them the most important is certainly the fact that through an independent bank guarantee the creditor (guarantee user) is insured not only from the risk of insolvency of the debtor from the basic contract, but also from the invalidity or impossibility of fulfilling his obligation. In domestic law, very conflicting opinions have been expressed regarding the defi-nition of the legal nature of an independent bank guarantee, and they are primarily based on claims that in existing sources of obligations, and above all in the contract and unilateral declaration of will, the necessary solutions cannot be found that fully explain the origin, but also the abstract or independent character of the obligation that the bank assumes towards the beneficiary of the guarantee. By clarifying the existing doubts regarding its concept and legal nature, and determining similarities and differences with other institutions of securing the creditor’s claim, in this paper we have established that, from the aspect of interpretation of domestic regulations, an independent bank guarantee is a reliable but insufficiently regulated instrument for securing the fulfillment of the debtor’s obligation from the basic contract.

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Uticaj COVID-19 krize na procjenu vrijednosti

Uticaj COVID-19 krize na procjenu vrijednosti

Author(s): Tajana Serdar Raković / Language(s): English,Serbian Issue: 3/2020

Valuation is faced with a double challenge, on the one hand, it is much more difficult to reach the relevant assessed value in hardly predictable conditions, and on the other hand, the COVID-19 crisis has additionally increased public pressure on valuation. The research question refers to the examination of the crisis impact on value and value assessment, which elements and valuation determinants need to be adjusted to the crisis conditions and how to make these adjustments. Researches conducted in Bosnia and Herzegovina show that the corporate sector has been hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis. It is obvious that the factors affecting the decline of business also leave consequences on the company value. Regardless of the impact of the crisis, the most commonly used valuation methods remain relevant: discounted cash flow methods and market valuation methods. Possibilities for solving the problem of lacking relevant inputs are normalization of multipliers, scenario methods and extrapolation of data from available prices of similar assets. Discount rates should be revised taking into account the decrease in risk-free rates, increased borrowing, market risk and company/industry specific premiums. In times of great uncertainty, it is certainly advisable to use as many valuation methods as possible in order to minimize the errors related each of them and to conduct a sensitivity analysis of key value determinants. Valuation, in terms of crisis, requires the broad view of all circumstances and factors, expert judgment, intuition and the professional skepticism of the appraiser.

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THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION: EXPLORING THE DETERMINANTS OF INTERNET ACCESS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES

THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION: EXPLORING THE DETERMINANTS OF INTERNET ACCESS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES

Author(s): David Mhlanga,John Beneke / Language(s): English Issue: 3/2021

With the rapid developments and changes in technology in the Fourth Industrial Revolution being witnessed everywhere, this study aimed to investigate the factors that influence access to the internet by households in emerging economies with a direct focus on South Africa one of the countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Access to broadband facilities by individuals, households and consumers is one of the critical components of the economic growth and prosperity of a country. It is generally believed that the access to broadband technologies by a community or nation helps to increase productivity which assists a lot in fueling economic growth which will have an impact on the levels of poverty. Using the logistic regression, the study found out that race, access to telephone landline, access to a cellular cellphone, access to electricity, owning a house, gender, age of the household head, net household income per month, and household expenditure were the significant variables in influencing the demand for internet access by households in emerging economies. The factors that were more important in the influence on access to the internet were the availability of electricity and access to a cellphone. Therefore, the study concludes that to improve the quality of life of the people, it is imperative that the governments across the world, do invest more in improving access to quality internet, but one of the prerequisites is that households should have a stable electricity supply and they have access to cellphones.

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