Modelling volatility spillovers, cross-market correlation and co-movements between stock markets in European Union: an empirical case study Cover Image

Modelling volatility spillovers, cross-market correlation and co-movements between stock markets in European Union: an empirical case study
Modelling volatility spillovers, cross-market correlation and co-movements between stock markets in European Union: an empirical case study

Author(s): Jatin Trivedi, Cristi Spulbăr, Ramona Birău, Amir Mehdiabadi
Subject(s): Supranational / Global Economy, Financial Markets
Published by: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Keywords: volatility spillover; GARCH family models; stock market dynamics; investor behaviour; diversification; news;

Summary/Abstract: Purpose – This article examines volatility spillovers, cross-market correlation, and co-movements between selected developed and former communist emerging stock markets in the European Union. Modelling the behavioural dynamics of European stock markets represents a vital topic in a fascinating context, but also a current challenge of great interest. Research Methodology – We propose to estimate and model volatility using GARCH family models for selected European markets. We aim to explore volatility movement, presence of leverage effect/asymmetry in selected financial markets. Findings – The econometric approach includes GARCH (1, 1) models for the sample period from 1, January 2000 to 12, July 2018. The empirical results revealed that exists a significant presence of volatility clustering in all selected financial markets except Poland and Croatia. The empirical analysis also indicates that both recent and past news generate a considerable impact on present volatility. Research limitations – Our empirical study has certain limitations regarding the relatively small number of only eight stock markets. Practical implications – It can provide a useful perspective for researchers, academics, investors, investment managers, decision-makers, and scientists. Originality/Value – The empirical analysis is focused on 8 European stock markets, which are classified as developed (Spain, UK, Germany, and France) and emerging (Poland, Hungary, Croatia, and Romania).

  • Issue Year: 19/2021
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 70-90
  • Page Count: 21
  • Language: English