Analysis of Asymmetric Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Real Exchange Rate Cover Image

Turizm Gelirleri ve Reel Döviz Kuru Arasındaki Asimetrik İlişkinin Analizi
Analysis of Asymmetric Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Real Exchange Rate

Author(s): Mustafa Caner Timur, Nilcan Mert
Subject(s): Evaluation research, Financial Markets, Tourism
Published by: Ahmet Arif Eren
Keywords: Tourism Revenues; Tourism; Real Exchange Rate; NARDL; Asymmetry;

Summary/Abstract: Tourism is one of the most important sectors of today's modern world. Countries prepare various incentives and regulations in order to increase their share in tourism revenues. In addition to all these incentives, some data on the structural issues of the country affect tourism revenues. This study analyzes the asymmetrical relationship between the real exchange rate and tourism revenues for the Turkey. 2003: Q1-2020: Q1 has been investigated for periods. According to the non-linear ARDL analysis results, between the exchange rate and tourism revenues an asymmetric relationship in the long run and a symmetric relationship in the short run has been determined. Accordingly, a positive shock in the exchange rate increases tourism revenues by approximately 0.6%, while a negative shock increases tourism revenues by approximately 0.3%.

  • Issue Year: 5/2021
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 219-237
  • Page Count: 19
  • Language: Turkish