IMPACTUL ERORILOR ASUPRA ANALIZEI DE INTELLIGENCE
THE IMPACT OF ERRORS IN INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS

Summary/Abstract: Currently, as a result of terrorism development which has profoundly affected the climate of stability in many areas of the world and of the origins plurality and the nature of new risks and asymmetric threats, the security research have warned about the errors in intelligence analysis and about their impact on the decisions from this area. According to intelligence specialists, the latter terrorist attacks in France and Belgium have confirmed the overwhelming impact of errors in intelligence analysis and have indicated, despite the existing signs, that the failure of predictive analysis and the inability to anticipate risks have allowed the accomplishment of the terrorist actions. The volume and the complexity of the informations available, starting with the secret and ending with the public ones, increase the need to identify the mechanism to help assimilating and interpreting the managed data in such a way that they turn into useful information for beneficiaries - in this case decision makers. Only because an unclassified information is available somewhere it does not mean it is automatically made available to officials when they need it. The intelligence community has precisely this role, to bring useful information to policy makers, when it is necessary. Information, understanding and analyzing it are the most important aspects of a strategic challenge, the optimal defense decision it depends on the instruments in the field of intelligence: intelligence gathering, analysis and evaluation of relevant data.

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