The use of Markov chains to study the stability degree of income taxpayers Cover Image

Zastosowanie łańcuchów Markowa w badaniu stopnia stabilności dochodów podatników
The use of Markov chains to study the stability degree of income taxpayers

Author(s): Robert Orpych
Subject(s): Economy, National Economy, Public Finances, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: Markov chain; people's income; income distribution

Summary/Abstract: The paper presents the results of an empirical analysis of the stability of taxpayers’ income paying in one of the Silesian tax offices. To assess the degree of income stability the author used Markov chains. Transition probability matrix was constructed, which was used to estimate the synthetic indicator of income stability. The analysis found that the income of taxpayers were characterized by a low degree of stability. The research stated that the probability of transition to a higher income group was lower than the probability of transition to a lower income group, and with the increase in the level of income generated, the probability of transition to a lower or higher income group decreased. The Author proposed a growth measure of the income inequality distribution based on the ratio of transition probabilities in two extreme income groups.

  • Issue Year: 58/2013
  • Issue No: 05
  • Page Range: 22-35
  • Page Count: 14
  • Language: Polish