The “impossible trilemma” and the analysis of its validity by visualization through the use of artificial intelligence software Cover Image

The “impossible trilemma” and the analysis of its validity by visualization through the use of artificial intelligence software
The “impossible trilemma” and the analysis of its validity by visualization through the use of artificial intelligence software

Author(s): Gancho Ganchev, Elena Stavrova, Vladimir Tsenkov, Mariya Paskaleva
Subject(s): Economy, National Economy, Business Economy / Management
Published by: Институт за икономически изследвания при Българска академия на науките
Keywords: trilemma; Mundell-Fleming; visualization; artificial intelligence

Summary/Abstract: This research aims to visualize the “impossible trilemma”, i.e. the impossibility of simultaneously having a fixed exchange rate, free movement of capital and an independent monetary policy, for every economy through the application of artificial intelligence software. The advantages of visualization techniques are revealed. The explored countries are divided into the following panels: the Eurozone countries, the developed European countries (DEC), the developed non-European countries (DNEC), the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa), the developing European countries and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The results of the research show a great level of confirmation of the trilemma for the developing economies and the developed non-European countries. This implies that there is a compromise between exchange rate stability, monetary independence, and free capital mobility.

  • Issue Year: 2020
  • Issue No: 4
  • Page Range: 76-94
  • Page Count: 19
  • Language: English