Jobs calculator – a tool for short-term forecasting of changes in the labour market Cover Image

Kalkulator pracy – narzędzie do krótkoterminowego prognozowania zmian na rynku pracy
Jobs calculator – a tool for short-term forecasting of changes in the labour market

Author(s): Maria Bieć, Ewa Gałecka-Burdziak, Paweł Kaczorowski, Robert Pater
Subject(s): Economy, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: jobs calculator; job; unemployment

Summary/Abstract: The aim of the article is to present a modified and extended version of a jobs calculator – a tool used to perform simulations of the relationship between the unemployment and employment rates while adopting different assumptions regarding the potential trends in Poles’ professional activity and in shaping the size of Poland’s population. The user of the calculator sets the value of the target unemployment rate, and the tool calculates the number of jobs whose creation and filling would be necessary to obtain the desired level of the unemployment rate. The current version of the jobs calculator application has been enhanced compared to the original one in such a way that it allows modifying parameters characterizing the labour market (the labour market participation rate and the rate of the population growth) and creating forecasts within a defined time span. The calculator utilises data from the Labour Force Survey. The paper presents labour market forecasts until 2022 as well as the results of a simulation performed on the data from Labour Force Survey for the 3rd quarter of 2018.

  • Issue Year: 65/2020
  • Issue No: 03
  • Page Range: 31-45
  • Page Count: 15
  • Language: Polish