Investment in the Transmission Mechanism of Inflation Targeting – Verification of Sources of Investment Variability in the Czech Republic Cover Image

Investice v transmisním mechanismu cílování inflace – verifikace zdrojů variability investic v České republice
Investment in the Transmission Mechanism of Inflation Targeting – Verification of Sources of Investment Variability in the Czech Republic

Author(s): Lukáš Kučera
Subject(s): Social Sciences, Economy
Published by: Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Keywords: investment; monetary policy; inflation targeting; interest rate; correlation; vector error correction model

Summary/Abstract: The paper is devoted to the topic of investment with emphasis on their position within the transmission mechanism of inflation targeting. It briefly discusses starting-points of inflation targeting regime, individual transmission channels of monetary policy, and routes through which the central bank may influence the investment. There are mentioned selected investment theories. Other factors, whose changes may induce changes in investment, are derived using these theories. Using available data, sources of investment variability are verified for the Czech Republic. Correlation analysis is performed and the vector error correction model is compiled. It seems that rise of aggregate demand is transformed into rise of investment. Similarly in case of asset prices. Appreciation of CZK is reflected in decline of investment. All three relations are consistent with the theory. On the contrary, sensitivity of investment to changes in market expected real interest rates is not clear.

  • Issue Year: 66/2018
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 201-217
  • Page Count: 17
  • Language: Czech