Regime switching behavior of Indian VIX and its time dependent correlation with select developed economies Cover Image

Regime switching behavior of Indian VIX and its time dependent correlation with select developed economies
Regime switching behavior of Indian VIX and its time dependent correlation with select developed economies

Author(s): Jyothi CHITTINENI
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Prague Development Center
Keywords: Markov regime switching; financial integration; implied volatility index; correlation

Summary/Abstract: This paper investigates the international financial market integration as a trigger for regime switching behavior of Indian implied volatility index and its regime-dependent conditional correlations with the selected developed markets. The 2-state dynamic regression model reveals two different regimes using state-dependent variables during the time period 2009 to 2016. The results found that Hong Kong and US markets have a significant effect on the Indian market during highly volatile state, and there is a clear decoupling effect among these markets when the Indian market is stable. The predicted turning point probabilities indicate that the bull market state is persistent.

  • Issue Year: 13/2017
  • Issue No: 5
  • Page Range: 666-675
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: English
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