PESYMIŚCI I OPTYMIŚCI. DWA PODEJŚCIA WOBEC PROBLEMU PROLIFERACJI BRONI JĄDROWEJ PO ZIMNEJ WOJNIE
PESSIMISTS AND OPTIMISTS. TWO APPROACHES TO THE PROBLEM OF NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AFTER THE COLD WAR

Summary/Abstract: Nuclear proliferation is shown from two perspectives: optimists and pessimists. In the optimists’ attitude nuclear proliferation is a very reliable and effective nuclear deterrent. Optimists attribute a nuclear deterrence in preventing potential conflicts. For optimists, politicians possessing nuclear arsenal regardless from the political system tend to behave more rationally, especially to other nuclear states. In pessimist’s attitude, nuclear proliferation is a threat and enhances a risk of nuclear war, because: terrorists takeover or theft of nuclear bomb, human factor in miscalculation about intentions of the other side, and by developing a nuclear nets, which facilitates buying a nuclear technology and know-how. Pessimists perceive nuclear proliferation as a threat for a human-being and civilization. Representatives of these two schools agree that nuclear proliferation will be proceed further because it is still an attractive option not only for states.

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