Foresight in Second and Third Phase of Globalization Cover Image

Foresight v druhej a tretej fáze globalizácie
Foresight in Second and Third Phase of Globalization

Author(s): Marek Jemala
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Ekonomický ústav SAV a Prognostický ústav SAV
Keywords: phases of globalisation; generations of foresight; forecasting

Summary/Abstract: The main objective of this paper is dynamically to outline the evolution of Foresight in the 2th and 3rd phase of Globalisation. The key mission here is to characterize partial determiners and circumstances that have conducted the evolution of this pervasive R&D planning method, together with broader participation and changing focus of Foresight over the time. The general hypothesis is that Foresight has evolved like the consequence of increasing uncertainties that bring Globalisation and technical progress, and it is the specific form of strategic participative planning. The new discoveries are analysed here by an extensive literature review and comparisons, and also based on the Bibliometrical analysis of the European Foresight Monitoring Network database. The scope of this theme and the diversity of specialists’ opinions do not allow performing too specific analyses. The main approach here is to identify the main development of Foresight in relations to several key historical events in the 2th and 3rd phase of Globalisation as well as to outline several mutual linkages.

  • Issue Year: 58/2010
  • Issue No: 08
  • Page Range: 838-855
  • Page Count: 18
  • Language: Slovak