Mischaracterizing Uncertainty in Environmental-Health Sciences
Mischaracterizing Uncertainty in Environmental-Health Sciences
Author(s): Kristin Shrader-FrechetteSubject(s): History of Philosophy, Philosophical Traditions, Special Branches of Philosophy
Published by: Instytut Filozofii Uniwersytetu Jagiellońskiego
Keywords: carcinogen; default rule; diesel exhaust; diesel particulate matter; false negative Interagency Review Group on Cancer (IARC); particulate matter; pollution; special interests;risk; uncertainty;
Summary/Abstract: Researchers doing welfare-related science frequently mischaracterize either situations of decision-theoretic mathematical/scientific uncertainty (defined in terms of purely-subjective probabilities) as situations of risk (defined in terms of reliable, often frequency-based, probabilities), or situations of risk as those of uncertainty. The paper (1) outlines this epistemic/ethical problem; (2) surveys its often-deadly, welfare-related consequences in environmental-health sciences; and (3) uses recent research on diesel particulate matter to reveal 7 specific methodological ways that scientists may mischaracterize lethal risks instead as situations of uncertainty, mainly by using methods and assumptions with false-negative biases. The article (4) closes by outlining two normative strategies for curbing misrepresentations of risk and uncertainty, especially in welfare-affecting science.
Journal: Diametros
- Issue Year: 2017
- Issue No: 53
- Page Range: 96-124
- Page Count: 29
- Language: English