The Real Convergence of CEE Countries: A Study of Real GDP per capita Cover Image

The Real Convergence of CEE Countries: A Study of Real GDP per capita
The Real Convergence of CEE Countries: A Study of Real GDP per capita

Author(s): Andrea Zárembová, Eduard Baumöhl, Štefan Lyócsa
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Ekonomický ústav SAV a Prognostický ústav SAV
Keywords: time-series convergence; sigma convergence; CEE; unit root test; structural breaks

Summary/Abstract: The paper examines the unconditional sigma and time-series convergence of real GDP per capita (measured in national currencies and euros) for CEE8 countries during the 1995 : Q1 – 2011 : Q1 period by applying the unit root fra-mework using the DF-GLS test and the Lee and Strazicich (2003; 2004) test, which allows for endogenous breaks in trends and constants. We selected Germany as a benchmark country for relative real GDP per capita because of its geographical and economical position relative to all CEE8 countries. We have found that both sigma convergence and time-series convergence were present for most of the CEE8 countries prior to the breaks in trends, but after the breaks, the convergence slowed or reversed and thus indicated divergence.

  • Issue Year: 60/2012
  • Issue No: 06
  • Page Range: 642-656
  • Page Count: 15
  • Language: English