Utilization of Scenarios for the Operational Concepts Development Cover Image

Využití scénářů k tvorbě operačních koncepcí
Utilization of Scenarios for the Operational Concepts Development

Author(s): Jan Marša, Milan Kubeša
Subject(s): Security and defense, Military policy
Published by: Univerzita obrany - Centrum bezpečnostních a vojenskostrategických studií
Keywords: Operational Environment; Operational Concepts; Scenarios; Trends; Uncertainties; Key Factors; Generic Planning Situations; Threats; Risks

Summary/Abstract: The paper deals with the issue of the purpose, creation and practical use of scenarios during operational concepts development. The scenarios reflect the fundamental characteristics of the environment in whichthe military missions will be conducted in the next 15–20 years. The paper defines the type of scenarios useful for creation of operational conceptsand requirements that must be met for a successful process of scenarios development. Further, it describes the process of scenarios development, the main risks associated with this process while suggesting the possibility of reducing the rate of those risks.

  • Issue Year: 25/2016
  • Issue No: 2
  • Page Range: 20-35
  • Page Count: 16
  • Language: Czech