Predicting return intentions in Madrid Cover Image

Predicting return intentions in Madrid
Predicting return intentions in Madrid

Author(s): Raquel Caro, Consuelo Valbuena, Mercedes Fernandez
Subject(s): Economy, Geography, Regional studies, Migration Studies, Inter-Ethnic Relations
Published by: Transnational Press London
Keywords: Return migration; return intentions; multinomial logit; social ties; economic variables;

Summary/Abstract: Although Spain has only recently turned out to be an immigrant-receiving country, because of the economic downturn, Spanish authorities are becoming increasingly concerned about return migration. The main aim of this paper is to analyse the underlying variables of return intention of migrants in the Autonomous Community of Madrid in order to extract policy implications in the return arena. The microdata source is the Regional Immigration Survey 2011–2012. Our main finding is that having a job in Spain is the most important constraint to returning. In any case, return intentions vary with age groups, so policy design should be different according to this variable.

  • Issue Year: 13/2016
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 116-130
  • Page Count: 15
  • Language: English