Simulation of the Investment Attractiveness of Science in a Region Cover Image

Моделирование инвестиционной привлекательности научной сферы в регионе
Simulation of the Investment Attractiveness of Science in a Region

Author(s): Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev, Ilya Arturovich Krivenko, Maria Sergeevna Pecherkina, Tatiana Olegovna Kashina
Subject(s): Economy, Geography, Regional studies
Published by: Институт экономики Уральского отделения Российской академии наук
Keywords: investments into science; scientific research; research and development; production volume; welfare; education; efficiency of research institutions; productivity; return on scientific research;

Summary/Abstract: analysis of the Russian financial flows into scientific research and development. The paper explains the dynamics of the maininvestment flows trends into research and development, highlights the causes of financial flows variable dynamics directed to thehigh-tech industry. In the work, the investment situation in the Russian market was compared with the foreign experience. Thegenesis of the optimal financial distribution problems showed the need to develop a dynamic model with the built-in differentialequations to forecast the behavioral dynamics of investment flows. We selected the statistical indicators, which have a significantimpact on the dynamics of investment flows directed into science. To assess the dynamics of investment flows, we have developeda methodology, which provides a cumulative assessment of the territory investment attractiveness. The multifactor integralestimation allows to describe a data array, reflecting the accumulation of investment attractiveness over time depending onthe dynamics of the resultant socio-economic proportional indexes. Due to the accumulation of a data array over time using adifferential equation, it is possible to obtain a forecast of the volume of the territory investment attractiveness. The amount of theprojected investment flows depends directly on the amount of the investment attractiveness accumulated for the previous step ofmodel’s time. The integrated assessment of the investment attractiveness of the scientific sector in the region allows to reveal theinvestors preference of the regions with a high concentration of research institutions and higher education institutes.

  • Issue Year: 12/2016
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 303-314
  • Page Count: 12
  • Language: Russian